Saturday, January 04, 2025

Strangers in the Field Part IX: How'd We Do?

Another football season has come and (almost) gone. All our bets from the summer have been finalized. The college bets were pretty good. The NFL bets...not so much. 

Games of the Year
We started out hot with covers in the first three games including two outright wins (arguably should have been three). Fading an improved Colorado team was not a good play, but we were a little unlucky in two of the non-covers. By kickoff, UCF was laying double digits to Utah, meaning we had roughly two touchdowns of closing line value. Similarly, North Carolina ended up going off as a favorite against NC State, but the Tar Heels gave up a late touchdown to blow the cover. 

College Football Win Totals

The overall record wasn't that great, but we nailed our two biggest bets rather easily (Pittsburgh and Vanderbilt). We were also a little unlucky as the Liberty win total was graded as a push even though they went under thanks to their game with Appalachian State being canceled

NFL Win Totals
Yikes. Maybe time to reconsider betting NFL win totals. We were a little unlucky however as neither the Saints nor the Patriots could win a close game. Probably should have gotten one or two of these with a little better luck. 

Miscellaneous
Another o-fer on the miscellaneous bets. James Madison was arguably the best team in the Sun Belt, but the Dukes dropped several close games and could not win the division in their first year of eligibility. 

Money Wagered: $2,315
Money Won: $2,696.95
ROI: 16.49%

Not a bad return on investment. As I mentioned, we were probably a bit unlucky and deserved a few more covers and win total cashers. Plenty of motivation to go back again this summer. 

The college football season does not end until January 20th, so our offseason recaps are still nearly three weeks away. We'll get started as we always do on the Thursday after the title game (January 23rd). Hope you'll come back then.