1. Southern Cal (9-0)-- Last road test of the season upcoming at Cal. (LW 1)
2. Texas (9-0)-- Totally demolished a good Baylor team. (LW 2)
3. Miami (7-1)-- I was surprised with how easily they handled VT. Figured they would be looking ahead to the showdown with the Deacs this week. (LW 6)
4. Alabama (9-0)-- In 3 games against teams other than Utah State since Prothro's injury, the Tide have scored 1 offensive touchdown. (LW 5)
5. Penn St. (9-1)-- BCS bound if they get by schizo Michigan State in 2 weeks. (LW 8)
6. Georgia (7-1)-- Tough rebound game against Auburn this week. (LW 10)
7. Virginia Tech (8-1)-- BCS bid still a possibility, but they must win out. (LW 3)
8. Ohio St. (7-2)-- Intriguing game against Northwestern this week. (LW 11)
9. Louisiana St. (7-1)-- Appalachian State held them to only 24 points. (LW 12)
10. Notre Dame (6-2)-- This drop simply has to do with perspective. Only good team they have actually beaten is Michigan. (LW 7)
11. Oregon (8-1)-- Gritty win at home against Cal. (LW 13)
12. UCLA (8-1)-- Thanks for playing. (LW 4)
13. Florida (7-2)-- Lots of hype for this week's game. (LW 15)
14. Florida St. (7-2)-- Seems like whenever one of Bobby's boyz are in trouble, his team tanks a game to get them off the hot seat. (LW 9)
15. Texas Tech (8-1)-- Whipped A&M. (LW 16)
16. Auburn (7-2)-- Still alive for the SEC West title. (LW 19)
17. Colorado (7-2)-- One win away from a rematch with Texas. (LW 20)
18. Michigan (6-3)-- Ohio State in 2 weeks. (LW 22)
19. West Virginia (7-1)-- Poised to steal a BCS bid. (LW 18)
20. TCU (9-1)-- Mountain West champs. (LW 21)
21. Fresno St. (7-1)-- De facto WAC championship game Thursday against Boise. (LW 24)
22. Louisville (6-2)-- Exciting to watch. (LW 25)
23. Wisconsin (8-2)-- Good send-off season for Mr. Alvarez. (LW 14)
24. Georgia Tech (6-2)-- End season with 3 tough games. (LW NR)
25. Oklahoma (5-3)-- Should win at least 2 out of their last 3. (LW NR)
Creeping around:
Northwestern (6-3): Good comeback over Iowa to become bowl-eligible.
UTEP (7-1): Grabbed a stangle-hold on Conference USA's West division.
South Carolina (6-3): Darth Visor at it again.
Boise St. (7-2): 7 straight wins since early season struggles.
Iowa St. (6-3): Still a player in the Big 12 North.
Monday, November 07, 2005
Sunday, November 06, 2005
NFL Week Nine Pigskin Pickin'
Last Week: 10-4
Overall: 75-39
Atlanta at Miami: The 'Phins are tough at home
Winner: Miami
Oakland at Kansas City
Winner: Kansas City
Tennessee at Cleveland: You're guess is as good as mine.
Winner: Tennessee
Detroit at Minnesota
Winner: Minnesota
Carolina at Tampa Bay
Winner: Carolina
San Diego at New York Jets
Winner: San Diego
Houston at Jacksonville
Winner: Jacksonville
Cincinnati at Baltimore: As I've stated before, the 'Nati has to take care of business against bad teams, even on the road.
Winner: Cincinnati
Chicago at New Orleans
Winner: Chicago
Seattle at Arizona: Win games like this, and you won't have to play on the road in January.
Winner: Seattle
New York Giants at San Francisco: 49ers are tough at home.
Winner: San Francisco
Pittsburgh at Green Bay: No Ben Roethlisberger.
Winner: Green Bay
Philadelphia at Washington
Winner: Philadelphia
Indianapolis at New England: The best team the Colts have beaten is Jacksonville (4-3). I'm just sayin'.
Winner: New England
Overall: 75-39
Atlanta at Miami: The 'Phins are tough at home
Winner: Miami
Oakland at Kansas City
Winner: Kansas City
Tennessee at Cleveland: You're guess is as good as mine.
Winner: Tennessee
Detroit at Minnesota
Winner: Minnesota
Carolina at Tampa Bay
Winner: Carolina
San Diego at New York Jets
Winner: San Diego
Houston at Jacksonville
Winner: Jacksonville
Cincinnati at Baltimore: As I've stated before, the 'Nati has to take care of business against bad teams, even on the road.
Winner: Cincinnati
Chicago at New Orleans
Winner: Chicago
Seattle at Arizona: Win games like this, and you won't have to play on the road in January.
Winner: Seattle
New York Giants at San Francisco: 49ers are tough at home.
Winner: San Francisco
Pittsburgh at Green Bay: No Ben Roethlisberger.
Winner: Green Bay
Philadelphia at Washington
Winner: Philadelphia
Indianapolis at New England: The best team the Colts have beaten is Jacksonville (4-3). I'm just sayin'.
Winner: New England
Saturday, November 05, 2005
College Weekend Preview
Weekend Six-Pack:
ACC Game: Miami at Virginia Tech
This is for the ACC's Coastal Division title. The only way this game could be any bigger is if Miami had not lost opening weekend to Florida State. As it stands, The U and the Hokies are both still very much alive in the Rose Bowl picture. A decisive win here could vault Virginia Tech past Texas in some voters' ballots and also increase their standing in the objective computer rankings. A Miami win would keep their championship hopes alive should there only be one undefeated team at season's end. In their 4 home games, Virginia Tech has surrendered no more than 14 points (to Marshall). Miami will probably be the best offense they have faced in Lane Stadium this season, but this is far from the explosive Miami offense of 00-02 when such stalwarts as Dorsey, McGahee, and Winslow bludgeoned Big East opponents. Miami has not played a true road game in 7 weeks (Temple does not count as they can only win on Yom Kippur). In their 2 real road game, Miami lost to Florida State and squeaked by a 4-4 Clemson team in triple OT. These Hurricanes are Category 3 at best, and they won't be able to do enough on offense to beat Virginia Tech on the road.
Winner: Virginia Tech
Big East Game: South Florida at Rutgers
Since introducing themselves to the general public with a thrashing of a top-10 Louisville team, South Florida has dipped back under the radar losing consecutive road contests to Miami and Pittsburgh. South Florida is winless on the road, and Rutgers has lost but once at home.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Wisconsin at Penn St.
The winner in this game controls their destiny in the Big 10 race. Brian Calhoun has been a crucial piece in Wisconsin's offense, but QB John Stocco has also vastly improved meaning Wisconsin can also beat teams through the air; a quality they lacked in years past. However, Wisconsin's achilles heal is their defense. They have given up 42 points to Bowling Green, 24 to Indiana, 51 to Northwestern, 34 to Minnesota, and 24 to Illinois. The Nittany Lions have a better offense than all those teams and are playing at home where they are undefeated this season.
Winner: Penn St.
Big 12 Game: Missouri at Colorado
Before Missouri blew last weeks game to the Super Mangino Bros., the winner of this game was all but assured the Big 12 North title. If Colorado wins, they can start making plans to lose to Texas by 30 or so points. If Missouri wins, they can pretty much not show up next week at home against Baylor as their inconsistency will probably get the better of them (if not in that game then the next week at Kansas State). Missouri may have the best player on the field in QB Brad Smith, but Colorado is playing at home where they have yet to lose this season.
Winner: Colorado
Pac 10 Game: California at Oregon
Oregon has been flying under the radar all season, but still have a shot at a 10 win season, and if several things happen, perhaps a shot at a BCS bowl? Cal rebounded from consecutive losses to UCLA and Oregon State to beat Washington State 2 weeks ago. However, the Bears have yet to beat a team with a winning record and are likely looking forward to next weeks showdown with the Trojans. Even without Kellen Clemens the Ducks will win at home.
Winner: Oregon
SEC Game: Tennessee at Norte Dame
Tennessee is in very real danger of missing a bowl game. Following this tilt with the Irish, they play host to Memphis, Vandy, and on the road at Kentucky. While they will be favored in their 3 remaining games, at least one of these games are bound to be close. Would a losing season cost Fulmer his job? It probably shouldn't. Every coach, especially those with a national title, should get at least one mulligan. On the other sideline, Notre Dame has just finished giving Charlie Weis an $80 billion contract complete other fringe benefits like all the red meat he can eat and a lifetime suppy of manzeers. Other writers have already commented on the absurdity of his contract considering his predecesor started out 8-0 and was given a pat on the back and a few 'atta boys'. In my humble opinion, Notre Dame fans need to pull a Larry David and curb their enthusiasm. Although I have Notre Dame at #7 in my blog poll ballot, thanks mostly to their classic against the Trojans, look at the teams the Irish have beaten. Pittsburgh, Washington, Purdue, and BYU: not a looker in the bunch. The Irish have beaten Michigan, but the Wolverines for all their talent, have 3 losses. Notre Dame has also lost to a team with 3 losses, the Michigan State Spartans. Maybe the computers have it right (or at least more right) where they have them ranked: 22nd. This game will probably not go a long way in determining how good the Irish are, as Tennessee appears mediocre at best.
Winner: Notre Dame
Enjoy the Weekend.
ACC Game: Miami at Virginia Tech
This is for the ACC's Coastal Division title. The only way this game could be any bigger is if Miami had not lost opening weekend to Florida State. As it stands, The U and the Hokies are both still very much alive in the Rose Bowl picture. A decisive win here could vault Virginia Tech past Texas in some voters' ballots and also increase their standing in the objective computer rankings. A Miami win would keep their championship hopes alive should there only be one undefeated team at season's end. In their 4 home games, Virginia Tech has surrendered no more than 14 points (to Marshall). Miami will probably be the best offense they have faced in Lane Stadium this season, but this is far from the explosive Miami offense of 00-02 when such stalwarts as Dorsey, McGahee, and Winslow bludgeoned Big East opponents. Miami has not played a true road game in 7 weeks (Temple does not count as they can only win on Yom Kippur). In their 2 real road game, Miami lost to Florida State and squeaked by a 4-4 Clemson team in triple OT. These Hurricanes are Category 3 at best, and they won't be able to do enough on offense to beat Virginia Tech on the road.
Winner: Virginia Tech
Big East Game: South Florida at Rutgers
Since introducing themselves to the general public with a thrashing of a top-10 Louisville team, South Florida has dipped back under the radar losing consecutive road contests to Miami and Pittsburgh. South Florida is winless on the road, and Rutgers has lost but once at home.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Wisconsin at Penn St.
The winner in this game controls their destiny in the Big 10 race. Brian Calhoun has been a crucial piece in Wisconsin's offense, but QB John Stocco has also vastly improved meaning Wisconsin can also beat teams through the air; a quality they lacked in years past. However, Wisconsin's achilles heal is their defense. They have given up 42 points to Bowling Green, 24 to Indiana, 51 to Northwestern, 34 to Minnesota, and 24 to Illinois. The Nittany Lions have a better offense than all those teams and are playing at home where they are undefeated this season.
Winner: Penn St.
Big 12 Game: Missouri at Colorado
Before Missouri blew last weeks game to the Super Mangino Bros., the winner of this game was all but assured the Big 12 North title. If Colorado wins, they can start making plans to lose to Texas by 30 or so points. If Missouri wins, they can pretty much not show up next week at home against Baylor as their inconsistency will probably get the better of them (if not in that game then the next week at Kansas State). Missouri may have the best player on the field in QB Brad Smith, but Colorado is playing at home where they have yet to lose this season.
Winner: Colorado
Pac 10 Game: California at Oregon
Oregon has been flying under the radar all season, but still have a shot at a 10 win season, and if several things happen, perhaps a shot at a BCS bowl? Cal rebounded from consecutive losses to UCLA and Oregon State to beat Washington State 2 weeks ago. However, the Bears have yet to beat a team with a winning record and are likely looking forward to next weeks showdown with the Trojans. Even without Kellen Clemens the Ducks will win at home.
Winner: Oregon
SEC Game: Tennessee at Norte Dame
Tennessee is in very real danger of missing a bowl game. Following this tilt with the Irish, they play host to Memphis, Vandy, and on the road at Kentucky. While they will be favored in their 3 remaining games, at least one of these games are bound to be close. Would a losing season cost Fulmer his job? It probably shouldn't. Every coach, especially those with a national title, should get at least one mulligan. On the other sideline, Notre Dame has just finished giving Charlie Weis an $80 billion contract complete other fringe benefits like all the red meat he can eat and a lifetime suppy of manzeers. Other writers have already commented on the absurdity of his contract considering his predecesor started out 8-0 and was given a pat on the back and a few 'atta boys'. In my humble opinion, Notre Dame fans need to pull a Larry David and curb their enthusiasm. Although I have Notre Dame at #7 in my blog poll ballot, thanks mostly to their classic against the Trojans, look at the teams the Irish have beaten. Pittsburgh, Washington, Purdue, and BYU: not a looker in the bunch. The Irish have beaten Michigan, but the Wolverines for all their talent, have 3 losses. Notre Dame has also lost to a team with 3 losses, the Michigan State Spartans. Maybe the computers have it right (or at least more right) where they have them ranked: 22nd. This game will probably not go a long way in determining how good the Irish are, as Tennessee appears mediocre at best.
Winner: Notre Dame
Enjoy the Weekend.
Thursday, November 03, 2005
NBA Preview
Without further adieu, here is my NBA preview. Nah, I’m just kidding. This column is hereby dedicated to why the NBA pretty much sucks (with the occasional exception of the Finals).
Why college basketball is better than the NBA
1) Upsets
The NCAA playoff format is one-and-done. So you are guaranteed to see some team you’ve never heard of (normally with an extra direction or ‘state’ somewhere in their name), coached by a man who looks like he sells used cars, beat an established college basketball power. In the NBA playoffs which are best of 7-series, you may occasionally see a 5 seed knock off a 4 seed, but usually there are no remarkable upsets.
2) Shooting
In college basketball, this word evokes images of players such as Bryce Drew or Kyle Korver nailing a jump shot from the wing. In the NBA, this is usually a reference to an NBA player’s experiences at a night club following the game. Cuz it sure ain’t about jump shots. You’re more likely to see Peter Jackson on the cover of GQ that an NBA player with a solid jump shot.
3) Every Game Counts
In college basketball, for the most part, every game is crucial to their standing. A win or loss can mean the difference in qualifying for the NCAA tournament. Even for those teams that are assured a place at the NCAA table, each game determines what seed they will receive in the tourney. In the NBA regular season, there are maybe 15-20 important games. New Jersey at Milwaukee in mid-January, now that’s a game I’ll tivo Desperate Housewives to see.
Why Major League Baseball is better than the NBA
1) Summer
Hey, I’ll be the first to tell you that baseball can be a rather boring game. But so is an NBA regular season game. At least when you attend a baseball game in person, there is a very good chance that the game will be outside, the weather will be nice, and the fairer sex will be dressed in accordance. When you attend an NBA game, you are inside, it’s the dead of winter, and who knows, you may get attacked in the stands.
2) Scuffles
In baseball, when teams get into bean ball wars, the benches may clear, players may insult each others genealogy and family history, but punches are usually never thrown. And even when they are, its usually something hilarious. In the NBA, when players fight, careers get ended, playoff series get altered, and balding coaches embarrass themselves.
Why college football is better than the NBA
1) Tailgating
A grand tradition, even at football powers such as Wake Forest. Has there ever been an incidence of tailgating (or any sort of camaraderie) at an NBA game?
2) Emotion
This is what college football is all about. Family allegiances, rivalries, fight songs, Labor Day weekend, New Year’s Day games, polls, arguments, even the BCS. The NBA has none of that.
Why the NFL is better than the NBA
1) Schedule
The NFL’s schedule is set up perfectly. Games are played 2 days a week, complete with a week of build-up and talk. NFL fans receive sensory overload on Sundays from 1:00-7:00, then get an opportunity to relax with a game on Sunday night to start the work week. Plus on Monday night, they get a game to appease them until the following weekend. NBA teams play 82 games. These games occur on all 7 days of the week. Teams play 2-3 games a week, so there is no opportunity for build-up, and the season seems to go on forever.
2) Playoffs
More than half (16) of the NBA’s 30 teams make the playoffs. In the NFL, only 12 out of 32 teams make the playoffs. The NFL’s postseason is played out in a month’s time and culminates in the biggest American sporting event. The NBA’s postseason takes 2 and a half months to complete and by the end everyone is ready for it to be over.
3) The Draft
The NBA had to constitute a lottery-style draft system to prevent terrible teams from tanking games at the end of the season in hopes of garnering the draft’s top pick. The NFL’s draft is a 2-day circus that is somewhat entertaining to watch and has the always follically-superb Mel Kiper Jr.
So with that out of the way, here’s to ignoring the NBA until the first weekend in April when the NCAA tourney has just ended, baseball is just getting underway, and the NBA playoffs are still a few weeks from beginning.
Why college basketball is better than the NBA
1) Upsets
The NCAA playoff format is one-and-done. So you are guaranteed to see some team you’ve never heard of (normally with an extra direction or ‘state’ somewhere in their name), coached by a man who looks like he sells used cars, beat an established college basketball power. In the NBA playoffs which are best of 7-series, you may occasionally see a 5 seed knock off a 4 seed, but usually there are no remarkable upsets.
2) Shooting
In college basketball, this word evokes images of players such as Bryce Drew or Kyle Korver nailing a jump shot from the wing. In the NBA, this is usually a reference to an NBA player’s experiences at a night club following the game. Cuz it sure ain’t about jump shots. You’re more likely to see Peter Jackson on the cover of GQ that an NBA player with a solid jump shot.
3) Every Game Counts
In college basketball, for the most part, every game is crucial to their standing. A win or loss can mean the difference in qualifying for the NCAA tournament. Even for those teams that are assured a place at the NCAA table, each game determines what seed they will receive in the tourney. In the NBA regular season, there are maybe 15-20 important games. New Jersey at Milwaukee in mid-January, now that’s a game I’ll tivo Desperate Housewives to see.
Why Major League Baseball is better than the NBA
1) Summer
Hey, I’ll be the first to tell you that baseball can be a rather boring game. But so is an NBA regular season game. At least when you attend a baseball game in person, there is a very good chance that the game will be outside, the weather will be nice, and the fairer sex will be dressed in accordance. When you attend an NBA game, you are inside, it’s the dead of winter, and who knows, you may get attacked in the stands.
2) Scuffles
In baseball, when teams get into bean ball wars, the benches may clear, players may insult each others genealogy and family history, but punches are usually never thrown. And even when they are, its usually something hilarious. In the NBA, when players fight, careers get ended, playoff series get altered, and balding coaches embarrass themselves.
Why college football is better than the NBA
1) Tailgating
A grand tradition, even at football powers such as Wake Forest. Has there ever been an incidence of tailgating (or any sort of camaraderie) at an NBA game?
2) Emotion
This is what college football is all about. Family allegiances, rivalries, fight songs, Labor Day weekend, New Year’s Day games, polls, arguments, even the BCS. The NBA has none of that.
Why the NFL is better than the NBA
1) Schedule
The NFL’s schedule is set up perfectly. Games are played 2 days a week, complete with a week of build-up and talk. NFL fans receive sensory overload on Sundays from 1:00-7:00, then get an opportunity to relax with a game on Sunday night to start the work week. Plus on Monday night, they get a game to appease them until the following weekend. NBA teams play 82 games. These games occur on all 7 days of the week. Teams play 2-3 games a week, so there is no opportunity for build-up, and the season seems to go on forever.
2) Playoffs
More than half (16) of the NBA’s 30 teams make the playoffs. In the NFL, only 12 out of 32 teams make the playoffs. The NFL’s postseason is played out in a month’s time and culminates in the biggest American sporting event. The NBA’s postseason takes 2 and a half months to complete and by the end everyone is ready for it to be over.
3) The Draft
The NBA had to constitute a lottery-style draft system to prevent terrible teams from tanking games at the end of the season in hopes of garnering the draft’s top pick. The NFL’s draft is a 2-day circus that is somewhat entertaining to watch and has the always follically-superb Mel Kiper Jr.
So with that out of the way, here’s to ignoring the NBA until the first weekend in April when the NCAA tourney has just ended, baseball is just getting underway, and the NBA playoffs are still a few weeks from beginning.
Tuesday, November 01, 2005
Revenge of the Smith
"You are fulfilling your destiny." Since returning from a broken leg that sidelined him for 15 and 1/2 games last season, Steve Smith has been downright unstoppable. He currently leads the NFL in receptions (50), receiving yards (797), and touchdown receptions (8). Not only that, but he is coming off a career-high 201 yard receiving day against Captain Fred Smoot, who is reputably one of the NFL's best cornerbacks. If the force is strong with you, perhaps esoteric stats are more your thing. Check out Smith's standing at Football Outsider's Wide Receiver rankings. Smith has caught almost 72% of the passes thrown his way primarily because close to half are little quick hitches that he manages to turn into big gains with his ridiculous quickness and knowledge of the Dark Side.
Monday, October 31, 2005
Blog Poll Week 10
1. Southern Cal (8-0)-- Another week, another blowout. (LW 1)
2. Texas (8-0)-- Didn't bother to show up for the first half at Oklahoma State. Didn't matter. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (8-0)-- Big showdown with The U this weekend. (LW 3)
4. UCLA (8-0)-- Seem to be in trouble every week. (LW 5)
5. Alabama (8-0)-- Offense still only put up 35 against outmanned Utah State. (LW 6)
6. Miami (6-1)-- Another top 10 team that didn't bother showing up in the first half. (LW 7)
7. Notre Dame (5-2)-- Had a bye and now have a chance to ruin Tennessee's season. (LW 8)
8. Penn St. (8-1)-- Game against Purdue closer than most would have liked. (LW 9)
9. Florida St. (7-1)-- Clearly do not intimidate ACC teams like they did in the 90's. (LW 10)
10. Georgia (7-1)-- Having Shockley clearly put this team behind the 8-ball. (LW 4)
11. Ohio St. (6-2)-- Showed some offense against Minnesota. (LW 11)
12. Louisiana St. (6-1)-- Have to be kicking themselves for blowing the game to Tennessee. (LW 12)
13. Oregon (7-1)-- Had a bye and now must face Cal without Kellen Clemons. (LW 13)
14. Wisconsin (8-1)-- Defense is probably gonna cost them the Big 10 title. (LW 16)
15. Florida (6-2)-- Own Georgia like Oklahoma owned Mack Brown before this season. (LW 21)
16. Texas Tech (7-1)-- Up only 14-0 on Baylor in the 4th quarter. (LW 17)
17. Boston College (6-2)-- Can't drop em' too far after losing to VT. (LW 14)
18. West Virginia (6-1)-- Bye week. (LW 18)
19. Auburn (6-2)-- Beating the teams they should. (LW 19)
20. Colorado (6-2)-- Narrowly squeaked by my boyz from Manhattan. (LW 20)
21. TCU (8-1)-- Closer than expected game at San Diego State. (LW 22)
22. Michigan (6-3)-- Have rebounded nicely. (LW NR)
23. Cal (6-2)-- Bye week. (LW 23)
24. Fresno St. (6-1)-- Matchup with Boise in 10 days and then an intriguing game at Southern Cal. (LW 24)
25. Louisville (5-2)-- 3 home games in a row coming up. Time for some 60+ point games. (LW 25)
Creeping around:
Northwestern (5-3): Shouldn't have been ranked so high last week.
Georgia Tech (5-2): It certainly wasn't pretty, but they did notch a win over Clemson.
UTEP (6-1): Conference USA's Western Division will be decided in west Texas this week against Tulsa. I didn't know Conference USA had 2 divisions either.
South Carolina (5-3): Can't afford a letdown against Arkansas.
Oklahoma (5-3): Won 3 in a row since loss to Texas.
Rutgers (6-2): Congrats Scarlet Knights.
2. Texas (8-0)-- Didn't bother to show up for the first half at Oklahoma State. Didn't matter. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (8-0)-- Big showdown with The U this weekend. (LW 3)
4. UCLA (8-0)-- Seem to be in trouble every week. (LW 5)
5. Alabama (8-0)-- Offense still only put up 35 against outmanned Utah State. (LW 6)
6. Miami (6-1)-- Another top 10 team that didn't bother showing up in the first half. (LW 7)
7. Notre Dame (5-2)-- Had a bye and now have a chance to ruin Tennessee's season. (LW 8)
8. Penn St. (8-1)-- Game against Purdue closer than most would have liked. (LW 9)
9. Florida St. (7-1)-- Clearly do not intimidate ACC teams like they did in the 90's. (LW 10)
10. Georgia (7-1)-- Having Shockley clearly put this team behind the 8-ball. (LW 4)
11. Ohio St. (6-2)-- Showed some offense against Minnesota. (LW 11)
12. Louisiana St. (6-1)-- Have to be kicking themselves for blowing the game to Tennessee. (LW 12)
13. Oregon (7-1)-- Had a bye and now must face Cal without Kellen Clemons. (LW 13)
14. Wisconsin (8-1)-- Defense is probably gonna cost them the Big 10 title. (LW 16)
15. Florida (6-2)-- Own Georgia like Oklahoma owned Mack Brown before this season. (LW 21)
16. Texas Tech (7-1)-- Up only 14-0 on Baylor in the 4th quarter. (LW 17)
17. Boston College (6-2)-- Can't drop em' too far after losing to VT. (LW 14)
18. West Virginia (6-1)-- Bye week. (LW 18)
19. Auburn (6-2)-- Beating the teams they should. (LW 19)
20. Colorado (6-2)-- Narrowly squeaked by my boyz from Manhattan. (LW 20)
21. TCU (8-1)-- Closer than expected game at San Diego State. (LW 22)
22. Michigan (6-3)-- Have rebounded nicely. (LW NR)
23. Cal (6-2)-- Bye week. (LW 23)
24. Fresno St. (6-1)-- Matchup with Boise in 10 days and then an intriguing game at Southern Cal. (LW 24)
25. Louisville (5-2)-- 3 home games in a row coming up. Time for some 60+ point games. (LW 25)
Creeping around:
Northwestern (5-3): Shouldn't have been ranked so high last week.
Georgia Tech (5-2): It certainly wasn't pretty, but they did notch a win over Clemson.
UTEP (6-1): Conference USA's Western Division will be decided in west Texas this week against Tulsa. I didn't know Conference USA had 2 divisions either.
South Carolina (5-3): Can't afford a letdown against Arkansas.
Oklahoma (5-3): Won 3 in a row since loss to Texas.
Rutgers (6-2): Congrats Scarlet Knights.
Sunday, October 30, 2005
NFL Week Eight Pigskin Pickin'
Last Week: 8-5
Overall: 65-35
Cleveland at Houston: The Bicentenial Bucs (1976) can pop their champaigne corks.
Winner: Houston
Jacksonville at St. Louis: The Rams pull off a minor upset at home.
Winner: St. Louis
Arizona at Dallas
Winner: Dallas
Minnesota at Carolina: My first Panthers game of the year.
Winner: Carolina
Washington at New York Giants
Winner: New York Giants
Chicago at Detroit
Winner: Detroit
Green Bay at Cincinnati: Cincy must win games like this in order to make the playoffs.
Winner: Cincinnati
Oakland at Tennessee
Winner: Tennessee
Miami at New Orleans
Winner: New Orleans
Kansas City at San Diego
Winner: San Diego
Tampa Bay at San Francisco: With Chris Simms at quarterback, this one will probably be a little close.
Winner: Tampa Bay
Philadelphia at Denver
Winner: Denver
Buffalo at New England
Winner: New England
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Winner: Pittsburgh
Overall: 65-35
Cleveland at Houston: The Bicentenial Bucs (1976) can pop their champaigne corks.
Winner: Houston
Jacksonville at St. Louis: The Rams pull off a minor upset at home.
Winner: St. Louis
Arizona at Dallas
Winner: Dallas
Minnesota at Carolina: My first Panthers game of the year.
Winner: Carolina
Washington at New York Giants
Winner: New York Giants
Chicago at Detroit
Winner: Detroit
Green Bay at Cincinnati: Cincy must win games like this in order to make the playoffs.
Winner: Cincinnati
Oakland at Tennessee
Winner: Tennessee
Miami at New Orleans
Winner: New Orleans
Kansas City at San Diego
Winner: San Diego
Tampa Bay at San Francisco: With Chris Simms at quarterback, this one will probably be a little close.
Winner: Tampa Bay
Philadelphia at Denver
Winner: Denver
Buffalo at New England
Winner: New England
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Winner: Pittsburgh
Saturday, October 29, 2005
College Weekend Preview
Weekend Six-Pack:
ACC Game: Clemson at Georgia Tech
No this game won't determine who plays in the innagural ACC Championship Game, but it is the most intriguing and likely the best ACC game of the weekend. The Yellow Jackets righted themselves after 2 straight losses with a blowout of Duke 2 weeks ago. Clemson has sandwiched a 3 game losing streak in between a pair of 2 game winning streaks. The Tigers appear to be rounding into typical late-season form, having won 2 games by comfortable margins (although one game was against Temple) after a heart-breaking loss to Wake Forest. Still, I have to go with the home team. Reggie Ball and Tech's tough defense will be the difference.
Winner: Georgia Tech
Big East Game: Navy at Rutgers
2 weeks in a row Rutgers gets game of the week honors. Surely the appocalypse is upon us. The Scarlet Knights need but one victory more to become bowl eligible. To accomplish that task this week, they must beat a Navy team that has gone to 2 straight bowls under coach Paul Johnson. The Midshipmen at 4-2 also have designs on a bowl game. They have won 4 straight since opening the season with close losses to Maryland and Stanford. Navy runs a an option offense and their success is thus predicated on the run. Incidentally, stopping the run is one thing Rutgers does very well (2nd in the Big East in rushing yardage allowed per game). Rutgers will stop Navy's running attack and become bowl eligible in the ealry evening hours on Saturday.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Michigan at Northwestern
Michigan has turned a potential losing season into a likely bowl trip to either San Antonio or El Paso (I'm sure that has the fan base excited) after narrowly beating Penn St. and Iowa in the last 2 weeks. The Wildcats have won 3 in a row and are in contention for the Big 10 title. Their spread offense has been working wonders on Big 10 defenses, while their defense has put up less of a fight than the French in World War II. Fresh off a beat down of plummetting Michigan St., I like the 'Cats to win a shootout at home.
Winner: Northwestern
PS: Northwestern's performance since 1995 has to be the most impressive run of a private academic school in a BCS conference ever. 4 bowl game, 3 shared conference titles, and a 10 win season! Imagine Vandy, Wake, Duke, or Baylor winning 10 games and playing in a BCS bowl game. Pretty hard to wrap your mid around eh?
Big 12 Game: Oklahoma at Nebraska
Just like old times, a battle for Big 12 supremacy. What's that? These teams have combined for 5 losses already. Deespite this fact, this is still a crucial game for both team's seasons. Oklahoma has 4 games remaining: this game, a home game with Texas A&M, a roadie at Texas Tech, and a gimme home finale against Oklahoma St. Assuming the Oklahoma St. game as a win, the Sooners need to take one of the other 3 to finish with a winning record. Nebraska, on the other hand, still has designs on a Big 12 North division title, but must win out and get a little help to make that happen. The Huskers have lost only once at home (to Texas Tech) while the Sooners have won but one game away from home. However, the 3 teams that have beaten the Sooners this season have a combined record of 21-1. I like the Sooners to win a close one in Lincoln.
Winner: Oklahoma
Pac 10 Game: UCLA at Stanford
If I were a UCLA fan, the only thing that would scare me more than this trap game at Stanford would be breaking down in Southwest Texas and encountering this gentleman. Since losing to UC Davis, Stanford has quietly gone 3-1 with their only defeat coming at the hands of 7-1 Oregon. UCLA is 7-0 and has designs on playing in their own backyard for the BCS championship. Before last weeks shellacking of Oregon St., the Bruins had been playing opponents closer than Dave Cowens in the low-block, winning their first 3 conference games by a total of 14 points. This game will also be very close, but Stanford will upset UCLA at home and put an end to their national championship aspirations.
Winner: Stanford
SEC Game: Georgia Vs. Florida in Jacksonville
The game of the week. Gameday is here. Coming to your ci-tay. Georgia and Florida meet in Jacksonville with a lot at stake. Georgia is hoping to finish undefeated and somehow find their way into the Rose Bowl. Florida needs a win in order to avoid a likely Ron Zook-like 7-4 regular season. Against the best 3 defenses they have faced, the Gators with their spread-option attack have scored 3 touchdowns and a total of 36 points. Georgia has been steadily plugging along since taking Boise St. behind the woodshed on labor day weekend. However, they will be without their starting quarterback for this game. That will make all the difference as Florida will win a defensive struggle.
Winner: Florida
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Southern Miss at NC St.: The Golden Eagles travel to Raleigh to take on a humbled NC St. team. The Wolfpack sit at 2-4 and are in very real danger of posting their second consecutive losing season under Chuck Amato. Domo arigato Mister Amato? NC St. will get well at home this week, but Southern Miss will make it too close for comfort.
Arizona at Oregon St.: Arizona is seeking their first Pac 10 win while the Beavers are need just 2 more wins to become bowl eligible. They'll get half of what they need this week, but it will be very close.
Upset City:
UCLA at Stanford: See above.
Georgia Vs. Florida: Ditto.
Enjoy the weekend.
ACC Game: Clemson at Georgia Tech
No this game won't determine who plays in the innagural ACC Championship Game, but it is the most intriguing and likely the best ACC game of the weekend. The Yellow Jackets righted themselves after 2 straight losses with a blowout of Duke 2 weeks ago. Clemson has sandwiched a 3 game losing streak in between a pair of 2 game winning streaks. The Tigers appear to be rounding into typical late-season form, having won 2 games by comfortable margins (although one game was against Temple) after a heart-breaking loss to Wake Forest. Still, I have to go with the home team. Reggie Ball and Tech's tough defense will be the difference.
Winner: Georgia Tech
Big East Game: Navy at Rutgers
2 weeks in a row Rutgers gets game of the week honors. Surely the appocalypse is upon us. The Scarlet Knights need but one victory more to become bowl eligible. To accomplish that task this week, they must beat a Navy team that has gone to 2 straight bowls under coach Paul Johnson. The Midshipmen at 4-2 also have designs on a bowl game. They have won 4 straight since opening the season with close losses to Maryland and Stanford. Navy runs a an option offense and their success is thus predicated on the run. Incidentally, stopping the run is one thing Rutgers does very well (2nd in the Big East in rushing yardage allowed per game). Rutgers will stop Navy's running attack and become bowl eligible in the ealry evening hours on Saturday.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Michigan at Northwestern
Michigan has turned a potential losing season into a likely bowl trip to either San Antonio or El Paso (I'm sure that has the fan base excited) after narrowly beating Penn St. and Iowa in the last 2 weeks. The Wildcats have won 3 in a row and are in contention for the Big 10 title. Their spread offense has been working wonders on Big 10 defenses, while their defense has put up less of a fight than the French in World War II. Fresh off a beat down of plummetting Michigan St., I like the 'Cats to win a shootout at home.
Winner: Northwestern
PS: Northwestern's performance since 1995 has to be the most impressive run of a private academic school in a BCS conference ever. 4 bowl game, 3 shared conference titles, and a 10 win season! Imagine Vandy, Wake, Duke, or Baylor winning 10 games and playing in a BCS bowl game. Pretty hard to wrap your mid around eh?
Big 12 Game: Oklahoma at Nebraska
Just like old times, a battle for Big 12 supremacy. What's that? These teams have combined for 5 losses already. Deespite this fact, this is still a crucial game for both team's seasons. Oklahoma has 4 games remaining: this game, a home game with Texas A&M, a roadie at Texas Tech, and a gimme home finale against Oklahoma St. Assuming the Oklahoma St. game as a win, the Sooners need to take one of the other 3 to finish with a winning record. Nebraska, on the other hand, still has designs on a Big 12 North division title, but must win out and get a little help to make that happen. The Huskers have lost only once at home (to Texas Tech) while the Sooners have won but one game away from home. However, the 3 teams that have beaten the Sooners this season have a combined record of 21-1. I like the Sooners to win a close one in Lincoln.
Winner: Oklahoma
Pac 10 Game: UCLA at Stanford
If I were a UCLA fan, the only thing that would scare me more than this trap game at Stanford would be breaking down in Southwest Texas and encountering this gentleman. Since losing to UC Davis, Stanford has quietly gone 3-1 with their only defeat coming at the hands of 7-1 Oregon. UCLA is 7-0 and has designs on playing in their own backyard for the BCS championship. Before last weeks shellacking of Oregon St., the Bruins had been playing opponents closer than Dave Cowens in the low-block, winning their first 3 conference games by a total of 14 points. This game will also be very close, but Stanford will upset UCLA at home and put an end to their national championship aspirations.
Winner: Stanford
SEC Game: Georgia Vs. Florida in Jacksonville
The game of the week. Gameday is here. Coming to your ci-tay. Georgia and Florida meet in Jacksonville with a lot at stake. Georgia is hoping to finish undefeated and somehow find their way into the Rose Bowl. Florida needs a win in order to avoid a likely Ron Zook-like 7-4 regular season. Against the best 3 defenses they have faced, the Gators with their spread-option attack have scored 3 touchdowns and a total of 36 points. Georgia has been steadily plugging along since taking Boise St. behind the woodshed on labor day weekend. However, they will be without their starting quarterback for this game. That will make all the difference as Florida will win a defensive struggle.
Winner: Florida
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Southern Miss at NC St.: The Golden Eagles travel to Raleigh to take on a humbled NC St. team. The Wolfpack sit at 2-4 and are in very real danger of posting their second consecutive losing season under Chuck Amato. Domo arigato Mister Amato? NC St. will get well at home this week, but Southern Miss will make it too close for comfort.
Arizona at Oregon St.: Arizona is seeking their first Pac 10 win while the Beavers are need just 2 more wins to become bowl eligible. They'll get half of what they need this week, but it will be very close.
Upset City:
UCLA at Stanford: See above.
Georgia Vs. Florida: Ditto.
Enjoy the weekend.
Wednesday, October 26, 2005
Delta Force
In separating the wheat from the chaff in college football, one useful tool is a team's delta points. Determining the delta points for a team is not rocket science. Delta points are simply net points. That is, points scored minus points allowed. If team has positive delta points, they have scored more over the course of a season than their opponents. If they have negative delta points, they have been outscored over this same span. Teams that play for the national championship not only win all their games (most of the time); they also dominate their opponents. To demonstrate this fact lets look at the delta points for each team that played for the BCS national title (plus the co-champion Southern Cal Trojans from 2003), and their average scoring margins per game. All data is before the BCS title game.
1998:
Tennessee: 235 19.58 per game
Florida State: 247 20.58 per game
1999:
Florida State: 238 21.64 per game
Virginia Tech: 339 30.82 per game
2000:
Oklahoma: 276 23 per game
Florida State: 386 32.17 per game
2001:
Miami: 372 33.82 per game
Nebraska: 260 21.67 per game
2002:
Ohio State: 220 16.92 per game
Miami: 286 23.83 per game
2003:
LSU: 314 24.15 per game
Oklahoma: 394 30.31 per game
Southern Cal: 281 23.42 per game
2004:
Southern Cal: 291 24.25 per game
Oklahoma: 269 22.42 per game
First some caveats:
1. Scoring margin is not the end-all statistic. It does not take into account strength of schedule. Therefore, Virginia Tech in 1999 and Miami in 2001, are not as dominant as their 30+ scoring margins would indicate as they dominated a relatively weak Big East.
2. Scoring margin does a very poor job in predicting the head-to-head winner of the BCS championship game. Teams with the higher scoring margin are 2-5 in the 7 BCS title games. Again this likely relates back to schedule strength not being accounted for.
So, what can we conclude from this data? Basically, a team needs to outscore its opponents by at least 16 points per game to earn a shot at the national title. Contrary to popular belief, even Ohio State in 2002 had several blowout wins to add to their scoring total. Although they played 6 games decided by 7 points or less, they still blitzed some good teams (a 24 point win over 9-5 Texas Tech, an 18 point win over 10-3 Washinton State, and a 31 point win over 8-5 Minnesota). Now lets look at 2005 data and see if we can determine which undefeated (and 1-loss) teams are for real, and which are just pretending. It should also be noted, that each teams schedules (with the exception of Texas and possibly Southern Cal) will only get more difficult so their scoring margin per game will likely go down.
Undefeated Contenders:
Texas: 225 32.14 per game
Southern Cal: 192 27.43 per game
Virginia Tech: 201 28.71 per game
The usual suspects here. The consensus Top 3 have been dominating opponents so far.
Undefeated Pretenders:
Georgia: 120 17.14 per game
UCLA: 119 17 per game
Alabama: 96 13.71 per game
Neither of these teams are likely to go undefeated. Aside from their low scoring margin, Georgia also lost their starting quarterback for the 'Cocktail Party'. UCLA has already won 3 conference games in the final minute or OT. That luck is likely to run dry soon (maybe this week against rejuvenated Stanford?) as their defense has yet to stop anyone. Alabama has seen their scoring margin per game drop from 18 per game before Prothro's injury to a little under 14 in only 2 games. They have also only scored one touchdown since their top wide receiver went down. Will surely fall to either LSU or Auburn if not both.
The 1-loss bunch:
Texas Tech: 188 26.86 per game
Miami: 119 19.83 per game
Penn State: 158 19.75 per game
Florida State: 133 19 per game
Wisconsin: 120 15 per game
Boston College: 100 14.29 per game
LSU: 66 11 per game
Oregon: 87 10.88 per game
West Virgina: 51 7.29 per game
Take Texas Tech's numbers with a grain of salt. If we remove their 2 games against non-Division I competition, they drop down to 14.6 per game. Miami is quietly creeping around and may be the 1-loss team in best shape should two of the Big 3 stumble (they will have a say in whether Virginia Tech makes it through unscathed). Penn State and Florida State are also very good and seem to have recovered from their recent road losses. I'm not sure what to make of Wisconsin. I think their schedule has been relatively easy when compared to the other 1-loss teams. Wisconsin's season will be defined by their November 5th date with Penn State. If they win, they are likely to be Big 10 champs in Barry Alvarez's final season. Boston College is likely to drop from this list as they play at Virginia Tech tomorrow night. LSU is another team I am not quite sure of. Auburn did just enough to lose to them this past weekend and their scoring margin is very low. However, LSU has yet to play any non-conference cream puffs as their other NCAA brethren have thanks to Hurrican Katrina. That will change in the next 2 weekends as they host North Texas and Appalachian State. Oregon's return has been a nice story, but with their low scoring margin and injury to starting quarterback Kellen Clemons, they are likely to lose at least once and perhaps twice more before the season is out. West Virginia is obviously the weakest 1-loss team, as their marquee victory is probably 2-loss Louisville.
Delta points and scoring margin seem to back up convential wisdom. There are 3 teams that appear to be head-and-shoulders above the competition. The last 3 undefeated teams are hanging on by the thinnest of margins either because of inept defenses or injuries to key offensive players. One surprising thing is that the best 1-loss team may in fact be Miami or Penn State instead of LSU.
1998:
Tennessee: 235 19.58 per game
Florida State: 247 20.58 per game
1999:
Florida State: 238 21.64 per game
Virginia Tech: 339 30.82 per game
2000:
Oklahoma: 276 23 per game
Florida State: 386 32.17 per game
2001:
Miami: 372 33.82 per game
Nebraska: 260 21.67 per game
2002:
Ohio State: 220 16.92 per game
Miami: 286 23.83 per game
2003:
LSU: 314 24.15 per game
Oklahoma: 394 30.31 per game
Southern Cal: 281 23.42 per game
2004:
Southern Cal: 291 24.25 per game
Oklahoma: 269 22.42 per game
First some caveats:
1. Scoring margin is not the end-all statistic. It does not take into account strength of schedule. Therefore, Virginia Tech in 1999 and Miami in 2001, are not as dominant as their 30+ scoring margins would indicate as they dominated a relatively weak Big East.
2. Scoring margin does a very poor job in predicting the head-to-head winner of the BCS championship game. Teams with the higher scoring margin are 2-5 in the 7 BCS title games. Again this likely relates back to schedule strength not being accounted for.
So, what can we conclude from this data? Basically, a team needs to outscore its opponents by at least 16 points per game to earn a shot at the national title. Contrary to popular belief, even Ohio State in 2002 had several blowout wins to add to their scoring total. Although they played 6 games decided by 7 points or less, they still blitzed some good teams (a 24 point win over 9-5 Texas Tech, an 18 point win over 10-3 Washinton State, and a 31 point win over 8-5 Minnesota). Now lets look at 2005 data and see if we can determine which undefeated (and 1-loss) teams are for real, and which are just pretending. It should also be noted, that each teams schedules (with the exception of Texas and possibly Southern Cal) will only get more difficult so their scoring margin per game will likely go down.
Undefeated Contenders:
Texas: 225 32.14 per game
Southern Cal: 192 27.43 per game
Virginia Tech: 201 28.71 per game
The usual suspects here. The consensus Top 3 have been dominating opponents so far.
Undefeated Pretenders:
Georgia: 120 17.14 per game
UCLA: 119 17 per game
Alabama: 96 13.71 per game
Neither of these teams are likely to go undefeated. Aside from their low scoring margin, Georgia also lost their starting quarterback for the 'Cocktail Party'. UCLA has already won 3 conference games in the final minute or OT. That luck is likely to run dry soon (maybe this week against rejuvenated Stanford?) as their defense has yet to stop anyone. Alabama has seen their scoring margin per game drop from 18 per game before Prothro's injury to a little under 14 in only 2 games. They have also only scored one touchdown since their top wide receiver went down. Will surely fall to either LSU or Auburn if not both.
The 1-loss bunch:
Texas Tech: 188 26.86 per game
Miami: 119 19.83 per game
Penn State: 158 19.75 per game
Florida State: 133 19 per game
Wisconsin: 120 15 per game
Boston College: 100 14.29 per game
LSU: 66 11 per game
Oregon: 87 10.88 per game
West Virgina: 51 7.29 per game
Take Texas Tech's numbers with a grain of salt. If we remove their 2 games against non-Division I competition, they drop down to 14.6 per game. Miami is quietly creeping around and may be the 1-loss team in best shape should two of the Big 3 stumble (they will have a say in whether Virginia Tech makes it through unscathed). Penn State and Florida State are also very good and seem to have recovered from their recent road losses. I'm not sure what to make of Wisconsin. I think their schedule has been relatively easy when compared to the other 1-loss teams. Wisconsin's season will be defined by their November 5th date with Penn State. If they win, they are likely to be Big 10 champs in Barry Alvarez's final season. Boston College is likely to drop from this list as they play at Virginia Tech tomorrow night. LSU is another team I am not quite sure of. Auburn did just enough to lose to them this past weekend and their scoring margin is very low. However, LSU has yet to play any non-conference cream puffs as their other NCAA brethren have thanks to Hurrican Katrina. That will change in the next 2 weekends as they host North Texas and Appalachian State. Oregon's return has been a nice story, but with their low scoring margin and injury to starting quarterback Kellen Clemons, they are likely to lose at least once and perhaps twice more before the season is out. West Virginia is obviously the weakest 1-loss team, as their marquee victory is probably 2-loss Louisville.
Delta points and scoring margin seem to back up convential wisdom. There are 3 teams that appear to be head-and-shoulders above the competition. The last 3 undefeated teams are hanging on by the thinnest of margins either because of inept defenses or injuries to key offensive players. One surprising thing is that the best 1-loss team may in fact be Miami or Penn State instead of LSU.
Sunday, October 23, 2005
NFL Week Seven Pigskin Pickin'
Last Week: 11-3
Overall: 57-30
New Orleans at St. Louis: No Jamie Martin and no defense means a Saints victory.
Winner: New Orleans
Green Bay at Minnesota: Favre usually struggles in the Metrodome, but the Vikes seem to have quit on their coach while the Packers have rallied around Favre.
Winner: Green Bay
Indianapolis at Houston
Winner: Indianapolis
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Winner: Cincinnati
San Diego at Philadelphia
Winner: San Diego
Detroit at Cleveland
Winner: Cleveland
San Francisco at Washington
Winner: Washington
Dallas st Seattle
Winner: Seattle
Buffalo at Oakland: "Machine Gun' Kelly runs out of bullets in the Black Hole.
Winner: Oakland
Baltimore at Chicago
Winner: Chicago
Tennessee at Arizona
Winner: Arizona
Denver at New York Giants
Winner: New York Giants
New York Jets at Atlanta
Winner: Atlanta
Overall: 57-30
New Orleans at St. Louis: No Jamie Martin and no defense means a Saints victory.
Winner: New Orleans
Green Bay at Minnesota: Favre usually struggles in the Metrodome, but the Vikes seem to have quit on their coach while the Packers have rallied around Favre.
Winner: Green Bay
Indianapolis at Houston
Winner: Indianapolis
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Winner: Cincinnati
San Diego at Philadelphia
Winner: San Diego
Detroit at Cleveland
Winner: Cleveland
San Francisco at Washington
Winner: Washington
Dallas st Seattle
Winner: Seattle
Buffalo at Oakland: "Machine Gun' Kelly runs out of bullets in the Black Hole.
Winner: Oakland
Baltimore at Chicago
Winner: Chicago
Tennessee at Arizona
Winner: Arizona
Denver at New York Giants
Winner: New York Giants
New York Jets at Atlanta
Winner: Atlanta
Blog Poll Week 9
1. Southern Cal (7-0)-- Two more easy home dates before their next test at Cal on November 12. (LW 1)
2. Texas (7-0)-- 3 road games in their last 4, but they come against Oklahoma St., Baylor, and Texas A&M. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (7-0)-- Won rather handily at Maryland despite their plethora of mistakes. (LW 3)
4. Georgia (7-0)-- May struggle in the 'Cocktail Party' without Shockley. (LW 4)
5. UCLA (7-0)-- Finally a win by a comfortable margin. Their lack of defense will be their undoing. (LW 7)
6. Alabama (7-0)-- 1 touchdown in their last 2 games. Destined to lose to either LSU or Auburn (or both). (LW 5)
7. Miami (5-1)-- Game versus Georgia Tech postponed. (LW 6)
8. Notre Dame (5-2)-- Brady Quinn and Maurice Stovall had a game for the ages. (LW 8)
9. Penn St. (7-1)-- I'm a firm believer now. (LW 11)
10. Florida St. (6-1)-- Had a bye week against Duke. (LW 10)
11. Ohio St. (5-2)-- Never challenged against improving Indiana. (LW 12)
12. Louisiana St. (5-1)-- Survived another close game. (LW 13)
13. Oregon (7-1)-- Lost quarterback Kellen Clemons at least until the bowl game with a broken ankle. (LW 14)
14. Boston College (6-1)-- Big Thursday night clash at Virginia Tech coming up. (LW 15)
15. Northwestern (5-2)-- When Penn St. barely squeaked by them a few weeks ago I thought it was an indication of the mediocrity of both teams. Now, I think its an indication of the superiority of the 2 teams. (LW NR)
16. Wisconsin (7-1)-- Still alive in the Big 10 race. (LW 17)
17. Texas Tech (6-1)-- The Texas game proved one of two things: They either were exposed as frauds, or simply outmanned by the number 2 team in the country. If they keep winning, I'll consider them legit. If not, they're just a gimmick offense that picks on the little guys and can't beat the big boys (think Houston in the late 80's/early 90's). (LW 9)
18. West Virginia (6-1)-- Game against South Florida postponed. (LW 19)
19. Auburn (5-2)-- Kicker missed about 80 field goas against LSU. (LW 16)
20. Colorado (5-2)-- Rebounded nicley after the Texas loss. (LW 21)
21. Florida (5-2)-- The 'Cocktail Party' is a game Urban desperately needs. (LW 22)
22. TCU (7-1)-- Plugging along since the loss to the Pony Express. (LW NR)
23. Cal (6-2)-- Got a much-needed comback win against Wazzou. (LW 25)
24. Fresno St. (5-1)-- Rolling along in the WAC. (LW NR)
25. Louisville (5-2)-- Congrats on the first Big East win. (LW NR)
Creeping around:
Georgia Tech (4-2): Big game at home against Clemson this weekend.
UTEP (5-1): Say hello to your Conference USA champs.
Missouri (5-2): Colorado's biggest challenger in the Big 12 North.
Texas A&M (5-2): Beating up on the soft under-belly of the Big 12.
Stanford (4-2): Rebounding nicely from the loss to UC Davis.
2. Texas (7-0)-- 3 road games in their last 4, but they come against Oklahoma St., Baylor, and Texas A&M. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (7-0)-- Won rather handily at Maryland despite their plethora of mistakes. (LW 3)
4. Georgia (7-0)-- May struggle in the 'Cocktail Party' without Shockley. (LW 4)
5. UCLA (7-0)-- Finally a win by a comfortable margin. Their lack of defense will be their undoing. (LW 7)
6. Alabama (7-0)-- 1 touchdown in their last 2 games. Destined to lose to either LSU or Auburn (or both). (LW 5)
7. Miami (5-1)-- Game versus Georgia Tech postponed. (LW 6)
8. Notre Dame (5-2)-- Brady Quinn and Maurice Stovall had a game for the ages. (LW 8)
9. Penn St. (7-1)-- I'm a firm believer now. (LW 11)
10. Florida St. (6-1)-- Had a bye week against Duke. (LW 10)
11. Ohio St. (5-2)-- Never challenged against improving Indiana. (LW 12)
12. Louisiana St. (5-1)-- Survived another close game. (LW 13)
13. Oregon (7-1)-- Lost quarterback Kellen Clemons at least until the bowl game with a broken ankle. (LW 14)
14. Boston College (6-1)-- Big Thursday night clash at Virginia Tech coming up. (LW 15)
15. Northwestern (5-2)-- When Penn St. barely squeaked by them a few weeks ago I thought it was an indication of the mediocrity of both teams. Now, I think its an indication of the superiority of the 2 teams. (LW NR)
16. Wisconsin (7-1)-- Still alive in the Big 10 race. (LW 17)
17. Texas Tech (6-1)-- The Texas game proved one of two things: They either were exposed as frauds, or simply outmanned by the number 2 team in the country. If they keep winning, I'll consider them legit. If not, they're just a gimmick offense that picks on the little guys and can't beat the big boys (think Houston in the late 80's/early 90's). (LW 9)
18. West Virginia (6-1)-- Game against South Florida postponed. (LW 19)
19. Auburn (5-2)-- Kicker missed about 80 field goas against LSU. (LW 16)
20. Colorado (5-2)-- Rebounded nicley after the Texas loss. (LW 21)
21. Florida (5-2)-- The 'Cocktail Party' is a game Urban desperately needs. (LW 22)
22. TCU (7-1)-- Plugging along since the loss to the Pony Express. (LW NR)
23. Cal (6-2)-- Got a much-needed comback win against Wazzou. (LW 25)
24. Fresno St. (5-1)-- Rolling along in the WAC. (LW NR)
25. Louisville (5-2)-- Congrats on the first Big East win. (LW NR)
Creeping around:
Georgia Tech (4-2): Big game at home against Clemson this weekend.
UTEP (5-1): Say hello to your Conference USA champs.
Missouri (5-2): Colorado's biggest challenger in the Big 12 North.
Texas A&M (5-2): Beating up on the soft under-belly of the Big 12.
Stanford (4-2): Rebounding nicely from the loss to UC Davis.
Friday, October 21, 2005
College Weekend Preview
Weekend Six-Pack:
ACC Game: Virginia at North Carolina
With the Virginia Tech/Maryland game being played on Thursday, this is the ACC's biggest game of the weekend. Actually, aside from this game, the rest are stinkers to put it mildly (Clemson/Temple, Florida St./Duke, NC St./Wake). Virginia hopes to build on some of the momentum they garnered with their upset of Florida St. last weekend, while the Tarheels try to regroup from a shellacking at the hands of Louisville 2 weeks ago. Virginia is only 1-2 on the road, with their only victory a squeaker over a bad Syracuse team. That trend will continue here as Virginia will fail to build on the Florida St. triumph.
Winner: North Carolina
Big East Game: Rutgers at Connecticut
Yep thats right. With the cancellation of West Virginia at South Florida this game becomes the marquee Big East matchup. It's like going to Thanksgiving dinner where the main dish is Caesar Salad, only to have that be devoured by the time you make it through the line and being forced to eat crackers while you watch the Lions and Cowboys play. I'm so apathetic towards this game, that my analysis is as follows: I picked Rutgers to upset West Virginia 2 weeks ago at home. They didn't.
Winner: Connecticut
Big 10 Game: Northwestern at Michigan St.
Michigan St. has found a way to lose 2 very winnable games against Michigan and Ohio St. In the process, they have given up almost any chance of winning the Big 10 and grabbing a BCS bid. Northwestern on the other hand, has quietly put together a 4-2 record highlighted by an upset of then undefeated Wisconsin 2 weeks ago. Although they did squeak by Purdue last week, Northwestern has not been the same team away from Evanston. This will be a high-scoring affair that Sparticus puts away in the second half.
Winner: Michigan St.
Big 12 Game: Texas Tech at Texas
For all intents and purposes, this game is for the Big 12 South title. Mike Leach brings his undefeated Red Raiders into Austin to face the number 2 ranked Longhorns. In his 5+ years at the school(including this season), Leach is 13-23 against teams with winning records and 2-14 against teams with winning records on the road. Expect more of the same this week as the Longhorns rout the Red Raiders.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: Oregon St. at UCLA
UCLA is currently 6-0, and if they can get by the Beavers stand a good chance of being 9-0 when Arizona St. comes calling in mid-November. However, their last 3 games have all been decided in the final minutes or OT. Statistics and history say their luck has to run out sometime. Oregon St. has bounced back from early-season setbacks to Louisville and Arizona St. to win 2 in a row and become contenders in the fight for 2nd in the Pac 10. I'll give the nod to the Bruins who are playing at home as they find a way to win another close game.
Winner: UCLA
SEC Game: Auburn at LSU
Auburn has been low-key since their early-season loss to Georgia Tech. They have won 5 in a row over what can best be described as low-level competition. LSU has rebounded nicely from the second-half choke job against Tennessee. It's Saturday night in Baton Rouge so you know what that means: You get down the fiddle, you get down the bow, kick off your shoes and throw em' on the floor, dance in the kitchen til' morning light, louisiana saturday night. LSU has a very good defense, but something about them troubles me. Auburn admittedly has had a cupcake schedule, but look at LSU's wins: 35-31 over Arizona St. (3-3), 37-7 over Mississippi St. (2-4), 34-6, although the game was 12-6 in the late in the 3rd quarter over Vandy (4-3), and 21-17 over an overrated Florida (5-2) team. I think Auburn pulls off the upset.
Winner: Auburn
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Ohio St. at Indiana: The Buckeyes are too talented to lose this game, but Indiana is playing much better under new coach Terry Hoeppner. Ohio St. has only played 1 road game (the loss to Penn St.) so they are relatively untested away from the Horseshoe. Ohio St. is not built for comebacks so a few early scores by the Hoosiers could have Mr. Sweatervest feeling the heat.
Penn St. at Illinois: Another relatively road untested Big 10 team (Penn St. is 1-1 away from Happy Valley) plays away from home. Ron Zook will have his boys playing hard, but Joe Pa has his sights set on a BCS bid and won't let it slip away to some smucks from Champaign.
Upset City:
Vanderbilt at South Carolina: V-bilt this city on ball-control. Vandy's passing game will control the clock and upset the Gamecocks on Homecoming in Columbia.
NC St. at Wake Forest: The last time NC St. howled into hostile Groves Stadium, the Deacs hung an L on them and ended Phillip Rivers Heisman campaign before it got started. This time, the Pack will commit roughly 400 penalties and Wake will finally win a close game.
Enjoy the weekend.
ACC Game: Virginia at North Carolina
With the Virginia Tech/Maryland game being played on Thursday, this is the ACC's biggest game of the weekend. Actually, aside from this game, the rest are stinkers to put it mildly (Clemson/Temple, Florida St./Duke, NC St./Wake). Virginia hopes to build on some of the momentum they garnered with their upset of Florida St. last weekend, while the Tarheels try to regroup from a shellacking at the hands of Louisville 2 weeks ago. Virginia is only 1-2 on the road, with their only victory a squeaker over a bad Syracuse team. That trend will continue here as Virginia will fail to build on the Florida St. triumph.
Winner: North Carolina
Big East Game: Rutgers at Connecticut
Yep thats right. With the cancellation of West Virginia at South Florida this game becomes the marquee Big East matchup. It's like going to Thanksgiving dinner where the main dish is Caesar Salad, only to have that be devoured by the time you make it through the line and being forced to eat crackers while you watch the Lions and Cowboys play. I'm so apathetic towards this game, that my analysis is as follows: I picked Rutgers to upset West Virginia 2 weeks ago at home. They didn't.
Winner: Connecticut
Big 10 Game: Northwestern at Michigan St.
Michigan St. has found a way to lose 2 very winnable games against Michigan and Ohio St. In the process, they have given up almost any chance of winning the Big 10 and grabbing a BCS bid. Northwestern on the other hand, has quietly put together a 4-2 record highlighted by an upset of then undefeated Wisconsin 2 weeks ago. Although they did squeak by Purdue last week, Northwestern has not been the same team away from Evanston. This will be a high-scoring affair that Sparticus puts away in the second half.
Winner: Michigan St.
Big 12 Game: Texas Tech at Texas
For all intents and purposes, this game is for the Big 12 South title. Mike Leach brings his undefeated Red Raiders into Austin to face the number 2 ranked Longhorns. In his 5+ years at the school(including this season), Leach is 13-23 against teams with winning records and 2-14 against teams with winning records on the road. Expect more of the same this week as the Longhorns rout the Red Raiders.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: Oregon St. at UCLA
UCLA is currently 6-0, and if they can get by the Beavers stand a good chance of being 9-0 when Arizona St. comes calling in mid-November. However, their last 3 games have all been decided in the final minutes or OT. Statistics and history say their luck has to run out sometime. Oregon St. has bounced back from early-season setbacks to Louisville and Arizona St. to win 2 in a row and become contenders in the fight for 2nd in the Pac 10. I'll give the nod to the Bruins who are playing at home as they find a way to win another close game.
Winner: UCLA
SEC Game: Auburn at LSU
Auburn has been low-key since their early-season loss to Georgia Tech. They have won 5 in a row over what can best be described as low-level competition. LSU has rebounded nicely from the second-half choke job against Tennessee. It's Saturday night in Baton Rouge so you know what that means: You get down the fiddle, you get down the bow, kick off your shoes and throw em' on the floor, dance in the kitchen til' morning light, louisiana saturday night. LSU has a very good defense, but something about them troubles me. Auburn admittedly has had a cupcake schedule, but look at LSU's wins: 35-31 over Arizona St. (3-3), 37-7 over Mississippi St. (2-4), 34-6, although the game was 12-6 in the late in the 3rd quarter over Vandy (4-3), and 21-17 over an overrated Florida (5-2) team. I think Auburn pulls off the upset.
Winner: Auburn
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Ohio St. at Indiana: The Buckeyes are too talented to lose this game, but Indiana is playing much better under new coach Terry Hoeppner. Ohio St. has only played 1 road game (the loss to Penn St.) so they are relatively untested away from the Horseshoe. Ohio St. is not built for comebacks so a few early scores by the Hoosiers could have Mr. Sweatervest feeling the heat.
Penn St. at Illinois: Another relatively road untested Big 10 team (Penn St. is 1-1 away from Happy Valley) plays away from home. Ron Zook will have his boys playing hard, but Joe Pa has his sights set on a BCS bid and won't let it slip away to some smucks from Champaign.
Upset City:
Vanderbilt at South Carolina: V-bilt this city on ball-control. Vandy's passing game will control the clock and upset the Gamecocks on Homecoming in Columbia.
NC St. at Wake Forest: The last time NC St. howled into hostile Groves Stadium, the Deacs hung an L on them and ended Phillip Rivers Heisman campaign before it got started. This time, the Pack will commit roughly 400 penalties and Wake will finally win a close game.
Enjoy the weekend.
Tuesday, October 18, 2005
Blog Poll Week 8
1. Southern Cal (6-0)-- One of the rare games that actually lived up to the hype. (LW 1)
2. Texas (6-0)-- Overwhelmed Colorado, and now get probably their toughest remaining game at home this week. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (6-0)-- 2 consecutive Thursday night tilts. (LW 3)
4. Georgia (6-0)-- Dawgs took care of business against Vandy. (LW 6)
5. Alabama (6-0)-- The loss of Tyrone Prothro seems to have had a severe impact on the 'Bama offense. (LW 4)
6. Miami (5-1)-- Beat Temple by only 31. (LW 7)
7. UCLA (6-0)-- 3 straight nail-biter wins. Will lose before the Southern Cal showdown. (LW 10)
8. Notre Dame (4-2)-- Showed more in defeat than most teams did in victories this weekend. (LW 9)
9. Texas Tech (6-0)-- Prepping for a beat down in Austin this weekend. (LW 15)
10. Florida St. (5-1)-- Like clockwork, every 10 years they go down in Charlottesville. (LW 5)
11. Penn St. (6-1)-- Still have the inside track to the Big 10 title. (LW 8)
12. Ohio St. (4-2)-- Tressel has a knack for winning games he shouldn't. (LW 14)
13. Louisiana St. (4-1)-- Reduced Urban Meyer to tears in Baton Rouge. (LW 20)
14. Oregon (6-1)-- Seem to have put the Southern Cal loss behind them. (LW 18)
15. Boston College (6-1)-- Finally exorcised the Wake Forest curse. (LW 16)
16. Auburn (5-1)-- Won their first road contest. (LW 17)
17. Wisconsin (6-1)-- An improbable win at Minnesota. (LW 22)
18. Nebraska (5-1)-- The win at Baylor is better than it sounds. (LW 23)
19. West Virginia (6-1)-- The 'Ville committed a Cardinal sin in letting West Virginia come from 17 down in the 4th. (LW 24)
20. Michigan St. (4-2)-- Has any coach ever come closer to swearing on live TV and not closed the deal? (LW 12)
21. Colorado (4-2)-- Still the best of the Big 12 North. (LW 19)
22. Florida (5-2)-- Is Urban Meyer still a genius? (LW 11)
23. Tennessee (3-2)-- Desperately need a win over 'Bama this weekend. (LW 21)
24. Iowa (5-2)-- Welcome back. (LW 24)
25. Cal (5-2)-- Still have a lot to play for. (LW 13)
Creeping around:
Maryland (4-2): Big chance for a marquee victory this Thursday against Virginia Tech.
Fresno St. (4-1): Close loss at Oregon looks better and better.
Oregon St. (4-2): Big game at UCLA this weekend.
Arizona St. (3-3): Pac 10 is straing this year.
UTEP (4-1): Mike Price as good as gone?
2. Texas (6-0)-- Overwhelmed Colorado, and now get probably their toughest remaining game at home this week. (LW 2)
3. Virginia Tech (6-0)-- 2 consecutive Thursday night tilts. (LW 3)
4. Georgia (6-0)-- Dawgs took care of business against Vandy. (LW 6)
5. Alabama (6-0)-- The loss of Tyrone Prothro seems to have had a severe impact on the 'Bama offense. (LW 4)
6. Miami (5-1)-- Beat Temple by only 31. (LW 7)
7. UCLA (6-0)-- 3 straight nail-biter wins. Will lose before the Southern Cal showdown. (LW 10)
8. Notre Dame (4-2)-- Showed more in defeat than most teams did in victories this weekend. (LW 9)
9. Texas Tech (6-0)-- Prepping for a beat down in Austin this weekend. (LW 15)
10. Florida St. (5-1)-- Like clockwork, every 10 years they go down in Charlottesville. (LW 5)
11. Penn St. (6-1)-- Still have the inside track to the Big 10 title. (LW 8)
12. Ohio St. (4-2)-- Tressel has a knack for winning games he shouldn't. (LW 14)
13. Louisiana St. (4-1)-- Reduced Urban Meyer to tears in Baton Rouge. (LW 20)
14. Oregon (6-1)-- Seem to have put the Southern Cal loss behind them. (LW 18)
15. Boston College (6-1)-- Finally exorcised the Wake Forest curse. (LW 16)
16. Auburn (5-1)-- Won their first road contest. (LW 17)
17. Wisconsin (6-1)-- An improbable win at Minnesota. (LW 22)
18. Nebraska (5-1)-- The win at Baylor is better than it sounds. (LW 23)
19. West Virginia (6-1)-- The 'Ville committed a Cardinal sin in letting West Virginia come from 17 down in the 4th. (LW 24)
20. Michigan St. (4-2)-- Has any coach ever come closer to swearing on live TV and not closed the deal? (LW 12)
21. Colorado (4-2)-- Still the best of the Big 12 North. (LW 19)
22. Florida (5-2)-- Is Urban Meyer still a genius? (LW 11)
23. Tennessee (3-2)-- Desperately need a win over 'Bama this weekend. (LW 21)
24. Iowa (5-2)-- Welcome back. (LW 24)
25. Cal (5-2)-- Still have a lot to play for. (LW 13)
Creeping around:
Maryland (4-2): Big chance for a marquee victory this Thursday against Virginia Tech.
Fresno St. (4-1): Close loss at Oregon looks better and better.
Oregon St. (4-2): Big game at UCLA this weekend.
Arizona St. (3-3): Pac 10 is straing this year.
UTEP (4-1): Mike Price as good as gone?
Friday, October 14, 2005
NFL Week Six Pigskin Pickin'
Last Week: 11-3
Overall: 46-27
Atlanta at New Orleans: No matter who is playing quarterback, the Falcons run away with this game.
Winner: Atlanta
Carolina at Detroit
Winner: Carolina
Cincinnati at Tennessee: Who dey? Only time will tell. This is am important game. Playoff contenders win road games against flawed teams.
Winner: Cincinnati
Cleveland at Baltimore
Winner: Baltimore
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh: Pitssburgh only loses at Heinz Field to New England.
Winner: Pittsburgh
Miami at Tampa Bay
Winner: Tampa Bay
Minnesota at Chicago
Winner: Minnesota
New York Giants at Dallas
Winner: Dallas
Washington at Kansas City
Winner: Kansas City
New England at Denver
Winner: New England
New York Jets at Buffalo
Winner: Buffalo
San Diego at Oakland: Bet the over.
Winner: San Diego
Houston at Seattle
Winner: Seattle
St. Louis at Indianapolis
Winner: Indianapolis
Overall: 46-27
Atlanta at New Orleans: No matter who is playing quarterback, the Falcons run away with this game.
Winner: Atlanta
Carolina at Detroit
Winner: Carolina
Cincinnati at Tennessee: Who dey? Only time will tell. This is am important game. Playoff contenders win road games against flawed teams.
Winner: Cincinnati
Cleveland at Baltimore
Winner: Baltimore
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh: Pitssburgh only loses at Heinz Field to New England.
Winner: Pittsburgh
Miami at Tampa Bay
Winner: Tampa Bay
Minnesota at Chicago
Winner: Minnesota
New York Giants at Dallas
Winner: Dallas
Washington at Kansas City
Winner: Kansas City
New England at Denver
Winner: New England
New York Jets at Buffalo
Winner: Buffalo
San Diego at Oakland: Bet the over.
Winner: San Diego
Houston at Seattle
Winner: Seattle
St. Louis at Indianapolis
Winner: Indianapolis
College Weekend Preview
Weekend Six-Pack:
ACC Game: Florida St. at Virginia
Its been 10 years since the Cavs upset the 'Noles on that Thursday night in Charlottesville. In the decade that has passed, that win has turned out to be more of a random upset than a program-definer. Since that time, Florida St. has played in 4 national championship bowl games (winning 1 in 1999) and is undefeated so far this season. Virginia on the other hand has continued their stretch of 7-4, 8-5, 7-5 seasons (first under George Welsh and now under Al Groh). Virginia's best season in that same span was 1998, when they went 9-3 and lost the Peach Bowl to Georgia. Florida St. has made Virginia pay for that game back in 1995 as well. The Cavs have come no closer than 5 points (a 19-14 loss at home in 2003) in the 9 games against the 'Noles since that monumental upset, andFlorida St. has won 4 of the contests by 30 or more points. In the preseason, this looked like a game Florida St. would struggle to win and possibly even lose. However, the 'Noles have proven themselves to be national title contenders while Virginia has yet to prove they are bowl contenders.
Winner: Florida St.
Big East Game: Louisville at West Virginia
The 'Ville is a hard team to get a handle on. In three games at home, they have scored over 60 points and blown out decent BCS teams Oregon St. and North Carolina as well as Florida Atlantic. However, on the road, they have struggled. They scored 31 against against a bad Kentucky team, but only won by 7. In their most recent road game against unknown quantity South Florida, they managed only 14 points and lost by 31. West Virginia is a better team than Kentucky and South Florida, so i foresee more road struggles for the 'Ville this week.
Winner: West Virginia
Big 10 Game: Michigan St. at Ohio St.
This game trumps Penn St. at Michigan and Wisconsin at Minnesota in a loaded Big 10 weekend. Its strength versus strength as the Buckeyes and their stout defense host Sparticus and their high-octane offense. The loser here is out of the Big 10 race and should prepare for a postseason trip to San Antonio, El Paso, or Orlando. Ohio St. has lost only once at home all season (a 2 point loss to Texas). However, Michigan St. is no stranger to hostile environments as they have beaten Notre Dame in South Bend. Michigan St. has not scored less than 31 points this season. If they get to that number, Ohio St. has no chance.
Winner: Michigan St.
Big 12 Game: Colorado at Texas
Very quietly, the Buffs are 4-1, with their only blemish a 23-3 defeat at the hands of The U in the Orange Bowl. Texas on the other hand, is eyeing a possible undefeated season and a shot at the national championship. Texas is better than Miami, and is playing at home. The upset won't happen this week.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: Southern Cal at Notre Dame
The Trojans have been tested in their last 2 road games against Oregon and Arizona St. Is Notre Dame better thna those 2 squads? On the one hand, the best team they have beaten is either Michigan (3-3) or Purdue (2-3). However, all 4 of their wins have come on the road. Road games are never easy in college football or any sport. We'll find out how good the Irish are after this game. After all the hype and pomp, this game has a lot to live up to. It won't.
Winner: Southern Cal
SEC Game: Florida at LSU
Florida's last road game was a 31-3 whipping at the hands of Alabama. LSU's last home game was an OT choke job against Tennesee. This is easily the hardest game on the docket to prognosticate. I haven't been impressed with LSU's performance against either Mississippi St. or Vandy in their 2 games since the Tennessee debacle. I haven't been impressed with Florida's performance against real NCAA defenses in games against Tennessee and Alabama (19 combined points). In situations like this, take the home team.
Winner: LSU
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Penn St. at Michigan: Michigan is actually the favorite playing at home against the undefeated Nits. They should be. In their only road game, Penn St. struggled to beat Northwestern. This is a step up in talent.
Wake Forest at Boston College: Surprisingly, my alma mater has won the last 2 games in this contest. Our running game will keep it close, but Boston College will prove too much.
Upset City:
Nebraska at Baylor: The Bears have played extremely well this season under Guy Moriss. Their only loss was an OT defeat at Texas A&M. Nebraska is coming off a tough home loss to Texas Tech, and will get ambushed in Waco.
Kansas St. at Texas Tech: The Red Raiders needed a miracle to get by Nebraska last week in the first tough game they played all year. The Wildcats will get back in the Big 12 North race with a win here.
Enjoy the weekend.
ACC Game: Florida St. at Virginia
Its been 10 years since the Cavs upset the 'Noles on that Thursday night in Charlottesville. In the decade that has passed, that win has turned out to be more of a random upset than a program-definer. Since that time, Florida St. has played in 4 national championship bowl games (winning 1 in 1999) and is undefeated so far this season. Virginia on the other hand has continued their stretch of 7-4, 8-5, 7-5 seasons (first under George Welsh and now under Al Groh). Virginia's best season in that same span was 1998, when they went 9-3 and lost the Peach Bowl to Georgia. Florida St. has made Virginia pay for that game back in 1995 as well. The Cavs have come no closer than 5 points (a 19-14 loss at home in 2003) in the 9 games against the 'Noles since that monumental upset, andFlorida St. has won 4 of the contests by 30 or more points. In the preseason, this looked like a game Florida St. would struggle to win and possibly even lose. However, the 'Noles have proven themselves to be national title contenders while Virginia has yet to prove they are bowl contenders.
Winner: Florida St.
Big East Game: Louisville at West Virginia
The 'Ville is a hard team to get a handle on. In three games at home, they have scored over 60 points and blown out decent BCS teams Oregon St. and North Carolina as well as Florida Atlantic. However, on the road, they have struggled. They scored 31 against against a bad Kentucky team, but only won by 7. In their most recent road game against unknown quantity South Florida, they managed only 14 points and lost by 31. West Virginia is a better team than Kentucky and South Florida, so i foresee more road struggles for the 'Ville this week.
Winner: West Virginia
Big 10 Game: Michigan St. at Ohio St.
This game trumps Penn St. at Michigan and Wisconsin at Minnesota in a loaded Big 10 weekend. Its strength versus strength as the Buckeyes and their stout defense host Sparticus and their high-octane offense. The loser here is out of the Big 10 race and should prepare for a postseason trip to San Antonio, El Paso, or Orlando. Ohio St. has lost only once at home all season (a 2 point loss to Texas). However, Michigan St. is no stranger to hostile environments as they have beaten Notre Dame in South Bend. Michigan St. has not scored less than 31 points this season. If they get to that number, Ohio St. has no chance.
Winner: Michigan St.
Big 12 Game: Colorado at Texas
Very quietly, the Buffs are 4-1, with their only blemish a 23-3 defeat at the hands of The U in the Orange Bowl. Texas on the other hand, is eyeing a possible undefeated season and a shot at the national championship. Texas is better than Miami, and is playing at home. The upset won't happen this week.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: Southern Cal at Notre Dame
The Trojans have been tested in their last 2 road games against Oregon and Arizona St. Is Notre Dame better thna those 2 squads? On the one hand, the best team they have beaten is either Michigan (3-3) or Purdue (2-3). However, all 4 of their wins have come on the road. Road games are never easy in college football or any sport. We'll find out how good the Irish are after this game. After all the hype and pomp, this game has a lot to live up to. It won't.
Winner: Southern Cal
SEC Game: Florida at LSU
Florida's last road game was a 31-3 whipping at the hands of Alabama. LSU's last home game was an OT choke job against Tennesee. This is easily the hardest game on the docket to prognosticate. I haven't been impressed with LSU's performance against either Mississippi St. or Vandy in their 2 games since the Tennessee debacle. I haven't been impressed with Florida's performance against real NCAA defenses in games against Tennessee and Alabama (19 combined points). In situations like this, take the home team.
Winner: LSU
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
Penn St. at Michigan: Michigan is actually the favorite playing at home against the undefeated Nits. They should be. In their only road game, Penn St. struggled to beat Northwestern. This is a step up in talent.
Wake Forest at Boston College: Surprisingly, my alma mater has won the last 2 games in this contest. Our running game will keep it close, but Boston College will prove too much.
Upset City:
Nebraska at Baylor: The Bears have played extremely well this season under Guy Moriss. Their only loss was an OT defeat at Texas A&M. Nebraska is coming off a tough home loss to Texas Tech, and will get ambushed in Waco.
Kansas St. at Texas Tech: The Red Raiders needed a miracle to get by Nebraska last week in the first tough game they played all year. The Wildcats will get back in the Big 12 North race with a win here.
Enjoy the weekend.
Wednesday, October 12, 2005
College/Pro Weekend Wrap-Up
College: 3-3 record in the Six-Pack this week. I learned a valuable lesson though. Never pick Rutgers. Losing is a part of their idenity. Like William Jennings Bryan.
Winners:
Baylor: Much like Steve Carell, the Baylor Bears ended many years of tantalizing frustration and general ineptness against Iowa St. as they won their first Big 12 road game since the conference was founded. Now standing at 4-1, and having played just one home game, Baylor has a decent shot at making their first bowl trip since 1994.
Penn St.: Showed they can beat a Top-20 team... at home. This week is the real test. In only their second road game the Nits must go to the Big House to face a Michigan team coming off their first loss to Minnesota since 1986.
Northwestern: Dropped 51 points on previously unbeaten Wisconsin. Could the 'spread offense' be this generations version of the option? Remember good teams (Nebraska) used the option to have great seasons, and teams with inferior talent (the service academies) used the option to stay competitive when they were outmanned. Similarly, Southern Cal uses their spread offense to bludgeon opponents with their superior athletes and schools like Utah and Northwestern use the spread to conceal their talent deficiencies.
Losers:
Kevin Smith: The Nebraska defensive linemen intercepted a pass against Texas Tech with 1:30 to go that iced the game. Instead of going down, he proceeded to run with the ball and promptly fumbled it back to the Red Raiders who would go on to score a touchdown with 12 seconds left to win the game. His biggest flop since Jersey Girl.
Arizona St.: The Southern Cal loss was forgivable, but if the Sun Devils want to be a player in the Pac 10 race, they must win their home games.
Travis Bell: The Georgia Tech kicker missed not one, but two short field goals (24 and 27 yards) last Thursday. The Yellow Jackets lost to NC St. 17-14. Maybe Tony Danza has some eligibility left?
NFL: Random Thoughts
1. Vinny Testaverde's return to the Jets played a very negligible role in their win. This is contrary to what Don Banks would have you believe. For starters, the Jets scored all of 14 points on Sunday. So their offensive struggles are definitely not behind them. Couple that with the fact that one of their touchdown drives started at the Tampa Bay 8 yard line after a Ty Law interception return and well, these ain't the Colts by a long shot. The Jets still have a long way to go, especially with Curtis Martin running this season like an exhumed Red Grange. Vinny Testaverde was no quarterback savior at 21, so a revival of Cotton Mather-esque proportions is extremely unlikely at 41.
2. Another New York team changed quarterbacks this weekend. Buffalo replaced J.P. Losman with 'Machine Gun' Kelly Holcomb. On the surface Holcomb had a nice game. 20-26 for 169 yards with 1 touchdown and no interceptions for a QB rating of 106.1. However, he fumbled thrice and the Bills managed only 20 points despite the fact that Dolphins' quarterback Gus Frerotte was treating the football like The Gideons treat copies of the New Testament. Why start Holcomb? What's the best that could happen? Buffalo sneaks into the playoffs with a 9-7 record and gets waxed in the first round. If this happens, you have learned nothing about your 'quarterback of the future'.
Final Thought: Was Green Bay's curb-stomping of New Orleans a glimpse of their potential for the remainder season, or merely a high note in a season of woe? Both sides have a legitimate argument. The optimist sees a 2 point loss to the 2-2 Browns, a 1 point loss to the 4-1 Bucs, and a 3 point loss to the 3-2 Panthers as evidence that the Packers are a few plays from a 4-1 start and control of the NFC North. A pessimist sees the victory over the Saints as a beat down of a nomadic team that even if they were able to play home games, would be at best mediocre. The answer will not be known for sometime, but there is this fact: the Packers at 1-4, are merely 1.5 games out of first place.
Winners:
Baylor: Much like Steve Carell, the Baylor Bears ended many years of tantalizing frustration and general ineptness against Iowa St. as they won their first Big 12 road game since the conference was founded. Now standing at 4-1, and having played just one home game, Baylor has a decent shot at making their first bowl trip since 1994.
Penn St.: Showed they can beat a Top-20 team... at home. This week is the real test. In only their second road game the Nits must go to the Big House to face a Michigan team coming off their first loss to Minnesota since 1986.
Northwestern: Dropped 51 points on previously unbeaten Wisconsin. Could the 'spread offense' be this generations version of the option? Remember good teams (Nebraska) used the option to have great seasons, and teams with inferior talent (the service academies) used the option to stay competitive when they were outmanned. Similarly, Southern Cal uses their spread offense to bludgeon opponents with their superior athletes and schools like Utah and Northwestern use the spread to conceal their talent deficiencies.
Losers:
Kevin Smith: The Nebraska defensive linemen intercepted a pass against Texas Tech with 1:30 to go that iced the game. Instead of going down, he proceeded to run with the ball and promptly fumbled it back to the Red Raiders who would go on to score a touchdown with 12 seconds left to win the game. His biggest flop since Jersey Girl.
Arizona St.: The Southern Cal loss was forgivable, but if the Sun Devils want to be a player in the Pac 10 race, they must win their home games.
Travis Bell: The Georgia Tech kicker missed not one, but two short field goals (24 and 27 yards) last Thursday. The Yellow Jackets lost to NC St. 17-14. Maybe Tony Danza has some eligibility left?
NFL: Random Thoughts
1. Vinny Testaverde's return to the Jets played a very negligible role in their win. This is contrary to what Don Banks would have you believe. For starters, the Jets scored all of 14 points on Sunday. So their offensive struggles are definitely not behind them. Couple that with the fact that one of their touchdown drives started at the Tampa Bay 8 yard line after a Ty Law interception return and well, these ain't the Colts by a long shot. The Jets still have a long way to go, especially with Curtis Martin running this season like an exhumed Red Grange. Vinny Testaverde was no quarterback savior at 21, so a revival of Cotton Mather-esque proportions is extremely unlikely at 41.
2. Another New York team changed quarterbacks this weekend. Buffalo replaced J.P. Losman with 'Machine Gun' Kelly Holcomb. On the surface Holcomb had a nice game. 20-26 for 169 yards with 1 touchdown and no interceptions for a QB rating of 106.1. However, he fumbled thrice and the Bills managed only 20 points despite the fact that Dolphins' quarterback Gus Frerotte was treating the football like The Gideons treat copies of the New Testament. Why start Holcomb? What's the best that could happen? Buffalo sneaks into the playoffs with a 9-7 record and gets waxed in the first round. If this happens, you have learned nothing about your 'quarterback of the future'.
Final Thought: Was Green Bay's curb-stomping of New Orleans a glimpse of their potential for the remainder season, or merely a high note in a season of woe? Both sides have a legitimate argument. The optimist sees a 2 point loss to the 2-2 Browns, a 1 point loss to the 4-1 Bucs, and a 3 point loss to the 3-2 Panthers as evidence that the Packers are a few plays from a 4-1 start and control of the NFC North. A pessimist sees the victory over the Saints as a beat down of a nomadic team that even if they were able to play home games, would be at best mediocre. The answer will not be known for sometime, but there is this fact: the Packers at 1-4, are merely 1.5 games out of first place.
Tuesday, October 11, 2005
Nuthin' But a B Thang
I'm too lazy to write a post previewing the ALCS. But I will ask the one question that will determine this series.
Who is Dr. Dre rooting for?
Back in Nineteen Naughty Three, Dre was repping the South Side Sluggers. I hear he was a huge Ron Karkovice fan. Since then though, hes's been low key with the Chi Sox gear. I bet he still has some Sox digs though. What, you think he sold em' all? Have 12 years and the relative success of all 5 California baseball teams shifted his allegiances back to his home state? Only time will tell. Stay tuned 'til the next episode.
Who is Dr. Dre rooting for?
Back in Nineteen Naughty Three, Dre was repping the South Side Sluggers. I hear he was a huge Ron Karkovice fan. Since then though, hes's been low key with the Chi Sox gear. I bet he still has some Sox digs though. What, you think he sold em' all? Have 12 years and the relative success of all 5 California baseball teams shifted his allegiances back to his home state? Only time will tell. Stay tuned 'til the next episode.
Monday, October 10, 2005
Blog Poll Ballot Week 7
1. Southern Cal (5-0)-- Let Arizona hang around, but took care of business. Now on to a week of hype leading up the Notre Dame game. (LW 1)
2. Texas (5-0)-- Beat Oklahoma rather handily. Still not even half-way to an undefeated season.
3. Virginia Tech (6-0)-- Now the schedule gets tough. We'll see if they can avoid the second-half swoons that plagued the 2001-03 VT teams. (LW 3)
4. Alabama (5-0)-- Maybe Dennis 'Century 21' Franchione's departure wasn't all that bad. (LW 5)
5. Florida St. (5-0)-- 4 road contests in their final 6 games. (LW 6)
6. Georgia (5-0)-- Heading towards an SEC title game showdown with 'Bama? (LW 8)
7. Miami (4-1)-- The Colorado win is looking better and better. (LW 7)
8. Penn St. (6-0)-- Still have only played one road game, and it was a struggle at Northwestern. (LW 19)
9. Notre Dame (4-1)-- Their 4 wins (Pitt, Michigan, Washington, and Purdue) don't look that great. But, they were all on the road. (LW 10)
10. UCLA (5-0)-- Dreams of playing a bowl game in their back yard. (LW 17)
11. Florida (5-1)-- Must beat LSU to keep BCS hopes alive. (LW 12)
12. Michigan St. (4-1)-- Must travel to the wounded Buckeyes this week. (LW 14)
13. Cal (5-1)-- The fake punt by UCLA in the 4th was a bold call that turned momentum 180 degrees. (LW 9)
14. Ohio St. (3-2)-- Defense still top notch, but where is the offensive explosion they demonstrated at the end of last season? (LW 4)
15. Texas Tech (5-0)-- The win should not overshadow the fact that they blew a 21-0 lead to Nebraska and should have lost if not for one of the flukiest plays in NCAA history. (LW 16)
16. Boston College (5-1)-- Welcome to the ACC's upper tier. (LW 18)
17. Auburn (4-1)-- Still hanging around. (LW 21)
18. Oregon (5-1)-- Big road win at Arizona St. (LW 24)
19. Colorado (4-1)-- Maybe the class of the Big 12 North? (LW NR)
20. Louisiana St. (3-1)-- Struggled for 3 quarters at Vandy. (LW 22)
21. Tennessee (3-2)-- If not for the 2nd half against LSU, would be 1-3 in the SEC aka Gamecock territory. (LW 13)
22. Wisconsin (5-1)-- The schedule was set up nicely as they avoided Ohio St. and Michigan St. (LW 15)
23. Nebraska (4-1)-- Can't drop them after the Texas Tech game. (LW 23)
24. West Virginia (5-1)-- Somebody from the Big East... (LW NR)
25. Louisville (4-1)-- ... has to be ranked. (LW NR)
Creeping around:
Baylor(4-1): Host Nebraska this week.
Arizona St. (3-3): Need to win a game sometime.
Fresno St. (3-1): On to the WAC schedule.
Maryland (4-2): Is your refrigerator running?
Iowa (4-2): Another late-season surge?
2. Texas (5-0)-- Beat Oklahoma rather handily. Still not even half-way to an undefeated season.
3. Virginia Tech (6-0)-- Now the schedule gets tough. We'll see if they can avoid the second-half swoons that plagued the 2001-03 VT teams. (LW 3)
4. Alabama (5-0)-- Maybe Dennis 'Century 21' Franchione's departure wasn't all that bad. (LW 5)
5. Florida St. (5-0)-- 4 road contests in their final 6 games. (LW 6)
6. Georgia (5-0)-- Heading towards an SEC title game showdown with 'Bama? (LW 8)
7. Miami (4-1)-- The Colorado win is looking better and better. (LW 7)
8. Penn St. (6-0)-- Still have only played one road game, and it was a struggle at Northwestern. (LW 19)
9. Notre Dame (4-1)-- Their 4 wins (Pitt, Michigan, Washington, and Purdue) don't look that great. But, they were all on the road. (LW 10)
10. UCLA (5-0)-- Dreams of playing a bowl game in their back yard. (LW 17)
11. Florida (5-1)-- Must beat LSU to keep BCS hopes alive. (LW 12)
12. Michigan St. (4-1)-- Must travel to the wounded Buckeyes this week. (LW 14)
13. Cal (5-1)-- The fake punt by UCLA in the 4th was a bold call that turned momentum 180 degrees. (LW 9)
14. Ohio St. (3-2)-- Defense still top notch, but where is the offensive explosion they demonstrated at the end of last season? (LW 4)
15. Texas Tech (5-0)-- The win should not overshadow the fact that they blew a 21-0 lead to Nebraska and should have lost if not for one of the flukiest plays in NCAA history. (LW 16)
16. Boston College (5-1)-- Welcome to the ACC's upper tier. (LW 18)
17. Auburn (4-1)-- Still hanging around. (LW 21)
18. Oregon (5-1)-- Big road win at Arizona St. (LW 24)
19. Colorado (4-1)-- Maybe the class of the Big 12 North? (LW NR)
20. Louisiana St. (3-1)-- Struggled for 3 quarters at Vandy. (LW 22)
21. Tennessee (3-2)-- If not for the 2nd half against LSU, would be 1-3 in the SEC aka Gamecock territory. (LW 13)
22. Wisconsin (5-1)-- The schedule was set up nicely as they avoided Ohio St. and Michigan St. (LW 15)
23. Nebraska (4-1)-- Can't drop them after the Texas Tech game. (LW 23)
24. West Virginia (5-1)-- Somebody from the Big East... (LW NR)
25. Louisville (4-1)-- ... has to be ranked. (LW NR)
Creeping around:
Baylor(4-1): Host Nebraska this week.
Arizona St. (3-3): Need to win a game sometime.
Fresno St. (3-1): On to the WAC schedule.
Maryland (4-2): Is your refrigerator running?
Iowa (4-2): Another late-season surge?
Sunday, October 09, 2005
NFL Week Five Pigskin Pickin'
Last Week: 9-5
Overall: 35-24
Chicago at Cleveland: Can Kyle Orton win on the road against an improving Browns team? No way.
Winner: Cleveland
New Orleans at Green Bay: The Pack gets off the sneid.
Winner: Green Bay
Tampa Bay at New York Jets: Tampa is 4-0, but their opponents are a combined 3-12. Vinny wins his homecoming game with the Jets.
Winner: New York
Seattle at St. Louis: Time for Seattle to start playing like the Super Bowl contender they are.
Winner: Seattle
New England at Atlanta
Winner: New England
Miami at Buffalo
Winner: Buffalo
Baltimore at Detroit
Winner: Detroit
Tennessee at Houston: If two nancy boys get in a fight, one of them still has to win.
Winner: Tennessee
Indianapolis at San Francisco
Winner: Indianapolis
Carolina at Arizona: The Panthers are coming off a Monday night game and now must travel cross-country to play Arizona in the desert. I have a bad feeling about this.
Winner: Arizona
Philadelphia at Dallas
Winner: Philadelphia
Washington at Denver: The masquerade ends this week for the 'Skins.
Winner: Denver
Cincinnati at Jacksonville: Cincinnati is playoff-bound, but their opponents are a combined 3-10. They face the best team on their schedule so far in a road game at night. The Jaguars handle their business at home.
Winner: Jacksonville
Pittsburgh at San Diego
Winner: San Diego
Overall: 35-24
Chicago at Cleveland: Can Kyle Orton win on the road against an improving Browns team? No way.
Winner: Cleveland
New Orleans at Green Bay: The Pack gets off the sneid.
Winner: Green Bay
Tampa Bay at New York Jets: Tampa is 4-0, but their opponents are a combined 3-12. Vinny wins his homecoming game with the Jets.
Winner: New York
Seattle at St. Louis: Time for Seattle to start playing like the Super Bowl contender they are.
Winner: Seattle
New England at Atlanta
Winner: New England
Miami at Buffalo
Winner: Buffalo
Baltimore at Detroit
Winner: Detroit
Tennessee at Houston: If two nancy boys get in a fight, one of them still has to win.
Winner: Tennessee
Indianapolis at San Francisco
Winner: Indianapolis
Carolina at Arizona: The Panthers are coming off a Monday night game and now must travel cross-country to play Arizona in the desert. I have a bad feeling about this.
Winner: Arizona
Philadelphia at Dallas
Winner: Philadelphia
Washington at Denver: The masquerade ends this week for the 'Skins.
Winner: Denver
Cincinnati at Jacksonville: Cincinnati is playoff-bound, but their opponents are a combined 3-10. They face the best team on their schedule so far in a road game at night. The Jaguars handle their business at home.
Winner: Jacksonville
Pittsburgh at San Diego
Winner: San Diego
Friday, October 07, 2005
College Weekend Preview
Weekend Six-Pack:
ACC Game: Virginia at Boston College
Al Groh's boys got exposed as pretenders last week against Maryland. With all the great NFL-caliber talent he has brought in since his arrival prior to the 2001 season, one would think they would be an upper-echelon ACC team by now. As it is, in road games against winning teams under Groh (including last weeks loss) the Cavaliers are 3-13. Those wins came against Clemson (7-5) in 2001, Wake Forest (7-6) in 2002, and Georgia Tech (7-5) in 2004. As the records indicate, those were winning teams, but they were hardly dominant. Expect more of the same from the 'Hoos this weekend in Chesnut Hill. Boston College is not a great team, but they are well coached and play well at home. The Eagles DE Mathias Kiwanuka will spend so much time in the UVA backfield that he may have to pay property taxes.
Winner: Boston College
Big East Game: West Virginia at Rutgers
Rutgers is in position to take early control of the Big East race. I'll give you a moment to regain consciousness after reading that statement. This is both a testament to how far Rutgers has come and how far the Big East has fallen. If not for an Illini comeback in Champaign, the Scarlet Knights would be unbeaten heading into this game. As it is, they are 3-1 and in good position for their first bowl bid since 1978. West Virginia is coming off a home loss to Virginia Tech. The Mountaineers have been very inconsistent. They beat East Carolina (1-3) by only 5 points at home, but won by 12 at Maryland (3-2). Their offense is still a work in progress, so it will be up to the defense to win this game. Rutgers offense has come out strong in the early going, scoring 30 points or more in 3 of 4 games. Rutgers offense will prove too much for the Mountaineers and the Scarlet Knights will improve to 2-0 in the Big East.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Ohio St. at Penn St.
There is a buzz again in Happy Valley as the Nits are off to their best start since 1999. However, their Rose Bowl dreams will end on Saturday afternoon. Even though the offense put up 44 points against Minnesota, the passing game is still not up to par. Michael Robinson completed only 13 of 32 passes for 175 yards against the Gophers. He did not throw any interceptions, but that completion percentage is terrible. He did most of his damage on the ground running for 112 yards on 18 attempts. The Buckeyes with their talented linebackers will not let Robinson beat them with his legs. Penn St. will have to throw to win the game, and they won't be able to. Ohio St. held Vince Young of Texas to 18 completions in 29 attempts for 270 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He also only rushed for 76 yards on 20 carries (3.6 average) against the Buckeye defense. To borrow a line from Lloyd Benson, 'I've watched Vince Young. I've rooted for Vince Young. And you sir, are no Vince Young.' Ohio St. will win rather easily, with only Tressel's conservative nature (field goals instead of touchdowns) holding down the final margin.
Winner: Ohio St.
Big 12 Game: Texas vs. Oklahoma at Dallas
Can Texas and Mack Brown exorcise their demons and take out Stoops and the Sooners? Oklahoma's offense has been rounding into fine form in their last two games, but the key to their 5 consecutive victories in this series has been their defense. Game by game, Oklahoma has held Texas to 14, 3, 24, 13, and 0 points. Even in games where their offense has struggled (in 2002 they won 14-3 with one score being a defensive touchdown and last season they won 12-0) the defense has been there to bail them out. That won't be the case this year. So far this season, Oklahoma has given up 23.5 points per game. Texas will get at least 30 and win a game in this series for the first time since 1999.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: California at UCLA
Two undefeated teams battle for what they hope is the Pac 10 silver medal in southern california. UCLA struggled with a bad Washington team at home last week, needing a last minute touchdown to come from behind. Cal has beaten everyone they have played. Unfortunately, their best win is probably over Illinois. The schedule gets tougher starting with this game as they play Oregon St., Washington St., Oregon, and Southern Cal in their next 4 games. In analyzing this game, I'll go with the better coach as my winner. Jeff Tedford trumps Karl Dorrell.
Winner: California
SEC Game: Georgia at Tennessee
With Florida's loss at Alabama last week, Tennessee is right back in the SEC East race. Georgia is undefeated, but hasn't really shown what they can do as two of their primary scalps (Boise St. and South Carolina) have struggled in recent weeks. Tennessee has played about 2 quarters of good football (the second half and OT against LSU) so I'll go with the road dogs.
Winner: Georgia
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
LSU at Vanderbilt: No I don't think Vandy can win, but they will come out inspired with a chance to upset a top 15 team at home. Emotion can only carry you so far, and LSU will pull away in the second half.
North Carolina at Louisville: Very quietly, North Carolina has won two in a row (at NC St. and at home against Utah). They won't win this game, but Louisville is not the juggernaut they seemed to be in the early going.
Upset City:
Minnesota at Michigan: Michigan comes out flat after their big road win over Sparticus and falls at home to the Gophers.
Texas Tech at Nebraska: Nebraska remembers the horror last season when the Red Raiders hung 70 on them, Nebraska's offense has been pretty horrible so far, but their defense has been superb. Texas Tech has beaten no one of note yet, and that will continue as Nebraska extracts some revenge for last season's debacle.
Enjoy the weekend.
ACC Game: Virginia at Boston College
Al Groh's boys got exposed as pretenders last week against Maryland. With all the great NFL-caliber talent he has brought in since his arrival prior to the 2001 season, one would think they would be an upper-echelon ACC team by now. As it is, in road games against winning teams under Groh (including last weeks loss) the Cavaliers are 3-13. Those wins came against Clemson (7-5) in 2001, Wake Forest (7-6) in 2002, and Georgia Tech (7-5) in 2004. As the records indicate, those were winning teams, but they were hardly dominant. Expect more of the same from the 'Hoos this weekend in Chesnut Hill. Boston College is not a great team, but they are well coached and play well at home. The Eagles DE Mathias Kiwanuka will spend so much time in the UVA backfield that he may have to pay property taxes.
Winner: Boston College
Big East Game: West Virginia at Rutgers
Rutgers is in position to take early control of the Big East race. I'll give you a moment to regain consciousness after reading that statement. This is both a testament to how far Rutgers has come and how far the Big East has fallen. If not for an Illini comeback in Champaign, the Scarlet Knights would be unbeaten heading into this game. As it is, they are 3-1 and in good position for their first bowl bid since 1978. West Virginia is coming off a home loss to Virginia Tech. The Mountaineers have been very inconsistent. They beat East Carolina (1-3) by only 5 points at home, but won by 12 at Maryland (3-2). Their offense is still a work in progress, so it will be up to the defense to win this game. Rutgers offense has come out strong in the early going, scoring 30 points or more in 3 of 4 games. Rutgers offense will prove too much for the Mountaineers and the Scarlet Knights will improve to 2-0 in the Big East.
Winner: Rutgers
Big 10 Game: Ohio St. at Penn St.
There is a buzz again in Happy Valley as the Nits are off to their best start since 1999. However, their Rose Bowl dreams will end on Saturday afternoon. Even though the offense put up 44 points against Minnesota, the passing game is still not up to par. Michael Robinson completed only 13 of 32 passes for 175 yards against the Gophers. He did not throw any interceptions, but that completion percentage is terrible. He did most of his damage on the ground running for 112 yards on 18 attempts. The Buckeyes with their talented linebackers will not let Robinson beat them with his legs. Penn St. will have to throw to win the game, and they won't be able to. Ohio St. held Vince Young of Texas to 18 completions in 29 attempts for 270 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He also only rushed for 76 yards on 20 carries (3.6 average) against the Buckeye defense. To borrow a line from Lloyd Benson, 'I've watched Vince Young. I've rooted for Vince Young. And you sir, are no Vince Young.' Ohio St. will win rather easily, with only Tressel's conservative nature (field goals instead of touchdowns) holding down the final margin.
Winner: Ohio St.
Big 12 Game: Texas vs. Oklahoma at Dallas
Can Texas and Mack Brown exorcise their demons and take out Stoops and the Sooners? Oklahoma's offense has been rounding into fine form in their last two games, but the key to their 5 consecutive victories in this series has been their defense. Game by game, Oklahoma has held Texas to 14, 3, 24, 13, and 0 points. Even in games where their offense has struggled (in 2002 they won 14-3 with one score being a defensive touchdown and last season they won 12-0) the defense has been there to bail them out. That won't be the case this year. So far this season, Oklahoma has given up 23.5 points per game. Texas will get at least 30 and win a game in this series for the first time since 1999.
Winner: Texas
Pac 10 Game: California at UCLA
Two undefeated teams battle for what they hope is the Pac 10 silver medal in southern california. UCLA struggled with a bad Washington team at home last week, needing a last minute touchdown to come from behind. Cal has beaten everyone they have played. Unfortunately, their best win is probably over Illinois. The schedule gets tougher starting with this game as they play Oregon St., Washington St., Oregon, and Southern Cal in their next 4 games. In analyzing this game, I'll go with the better coach as my winner. Jeff Tedford trumps Karl Dorrell.
Winner: California
SEC Game: Georgia at Tennessee
With Florida's loss at Alabama last week, Tennessee is right back in the SEC East race. Georgia is undefeated, but hasn't really shown what they can do as two of their primary scalps (Boise St. and South Carolina) have struggled in recent weeks. Tennessee has played about 2 quarters of good football (the second half and OT against LSU) so I'll go with the road dogs.
Winner: Georgia
Underdog Section:
Close but no Cigar:
LSU at Vanderbilt: No I don't think Vandy can win, but they will come out inspired with a chance to upset a top 15 team at home. Emotion can only carry you so far, and LSU will pull away in the second half.
North Carolina at Louisville: Very quietly, North Carolina has won two in a row (at NC St. and at home against Utah). They won't win this game, but Louisville is not the juggernaut they seemed to be in the early going.
Upset City:
Minnesota at Michigan: Michigan comes out flat after their big road win over Sparticus and falls at home to the Gophers.
Texas Tech at Nebraska: Nebraska remembers the horror last season when the Red Raiders hung 70 on them, Nebraska's offense has been pretty horrible so far, but their defense has been superb. Texas Tech has beaten no one of note yet, and that will continue as Nebraska extracts some revenge for last season's debacle.
Enjoy the weekend.
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