Wednesday, November 02, 2011

Fab Five: Week X

Surprise, surprise. My unique inability to predict the results of college football contests continued with another 3-7 mark. Overall, I am now 26-43-1. Maybe I can get one more winning week in before the season is over. As always, home teams are in Bold.

5 Dogs I Like

Last Week: 1-4
Overall: 18-27

Louisville +13 West Virginia
Louisville has the best defense no one knows about. West Virginia may be the best team in the Big East, but they will struggle to put the pesky Cardinals away.

Syracuse +2 Connecticut
Syracuse has had a very up-and-down season. In no particular order, the Orange have walloped West Virginia, barely escaped Tulane and Rhode Island, and gotten blown out by Louisville. Still, their opponent on Saturday, is the worst team in the Big East by a wide margin and should not be favored over anyone.

Pitt +3.5 Cincinnati
While they have performed rather poorly outside the conference, against Big East foes, Pitt has been dominant. Cincinnati is the lone remaining unbeaten Big East team, but has real issues on defense that Piit should be able to take advantage of.

Utah State +3.5 Hawaii
The Aggies are the best two-win team in college football. They have consistently outplayed their opponents only to be done in by mistakes at inopportune times. The road trip to the islands will be tough, but Utah State is a very good team despite their record.

South Carolina +5 Arkansas
The Gamecocks enter this game likely needing to win out to ensure a second straight SEC East title. Meanwhile, Arkansas has quietly slipped back into the top-10. However, the Razorbacks have not been particularly impressive in any game since rallying to knock off Texas A&M a month ago. Arkansas has been ouplayed in consecutive weeks by Ole Miss and Vanderbilt, not usually a characteristic of a top-10 outfit. Look for Carolina to keep this one close and potentially pull the outright upset.

Five Faves I Like

Last Week: 2-3
Overall 18-26-1

Florida State -14.5 Boston College
Very quietly, Florida State has surged since their three-game losing streak. Keep in mind, the Seminoles losses in that span came to a pair of top-10 teams, and in a game where they turned the ball over 5 times. The Seminoles may be the best team in the ACC at this moment, and the Eagles may be the worst.

Alabama -4.5 LSU
The Game of the Century, at least of this season, takes place on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. The SDPI mid-season numbers say Alabama is one of the best teams of all time. LSU is good, but against what may be one of the best teams ever, on the road, I'll take my chances.

Michigan -4 Iowa
Michigan was shut down when they faced an elite defense in Michigan State. Against other defenses, the Wolverine have moved the ball very well. And don't look now, but the defense is playing above-average football. With an offense like this, that is all you need.

Virginia -1.5 Maryland
Don't sleep on the Cavaliers. SDPI loved them as a team to watch in the second-half and they can get to bowl eligibility here with a win against a stumbling Maryland team.

Oklahoma -13.5 Texas A&M
The Sooners recovered from their massive bed-wetting against Texas Tech by decimating previously unbeaten Kansas State in Manhattan. Meanwhile, Texas A&M limps into this game off a home defeat to Missouri. The Sooners will also want revenge for last year's upset loss in College Station. Look for Oklahoma to lay the wood in this game.

No comments: